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⚽ World Cup 2026

Group F — FIFA World Cup 2026

Group F is headlined by Netherlands, ranked 7th globally and among our model's top contenders. Japan have become one of Asia's most dangerous sides at major tournaments and provide the main challenge. Sweden and Tunisia are experienced tournament sides who will make qualification difficult for the top two.

Fixtures & Results

All times UTC

Sunday 14 June

Monday 15 June

Saturday 20 June

Sunday 21 June

Thursday 25 June

Analysis →23:00 UTC

Monday 29 June

Tuesday 30 June

Analysis →21:00 UTC

Group F Standings

	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7	LWWD
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5	LDWD
3	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4	LDLW
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0	LLL

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Group Insights

Pre-Tournament Outlook

Team Qualify SF Win

92% 14.1% 3.0%

86% 9.6% 0.9%

50% 0.8% 0.1%

27% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-Tournament Performance

WWDLW

WWWWW

DWDLL

DWWLD

Prior WC Performance

TeamPlayedWin Rate

5555%

2528%

1817%

5137%

Betting Insights

Match Competitiveness

1.88

Avg Favourite Odds

Tight Matches: 33% where favourite odds were 2.00+

Market Performance

Model Pick

-19.0%

Mkt Fav

-19.0%

Underdog

-47.1%

Draw

+33.4%

Flat-stake ROI across 6 group matches (model fair-value odds)

Favourites vs Underdogs

Fav 50% Draw 33% Underdog 17%

Balanced even matchups excluded

Common Scorelines

5–1

25%

2–2

12%

0–4

12%

1–1

12%

1–3

12%

2–1

12%

Goals Profile

Over 1.5 goals

100%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

Over 3.5 goals

62%

Avg goals/game: 4.0

High Scoring

Biggest Upsets

Sweden3.17

Sweden 5-1 Tunisia

Player Stats

⚽ Top Scorers

Player	Team	Goals
C. Gakpo	Netherlands	3
B. Brobbey	Netherlands	3

🎯 Top Assists

Player	Team	Assists
A. Isak	Sweden	3
C. Summerville	Netherlands	2

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