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Tunisia vs Netherlands Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Group Stage, Match 3
Thursday 25 June 2026  ·  23:00 UTC  ·  Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City

Match Report

Match Events ?
3'⚽ OGE. Skhiri Netherlands
7'B. Brobbey (V. van Dijk)Netherlands
54'H. Mastouri (H. Mejbri)Tunisia
62'J. P. van Hecke (T. Reijnders)Netherlands
Match Statistics ?
Tunisia
Netherlands
29%
Possession
71%
4
Shots on Target
7
10
Total Shots
20
4
Corners
6
11
Fouls
10
0.62
xG
1.85
Player Ratings ?
Tunisia
7.9Hazem MastouriF
7.3Aymen DahmenG
7.2Ellyes SkhiriD
Netherlands
9.2Jan Paul van HeckeD
8.0Virgil van DijkD
7.3Tijjani ReijndersM
Starting Lineups ?
Tunisia · 5-4-1
16GAymen Dahmen
20DYan Valery
3DMontassar Talbi
17DEllyes Skhiri
21DAmine Ben Hmida
2DAli Abdi
25MAnis Ben Slimane
11MIsmael Gharbi
13MRani Khedira
10MHannibal Mejbri
9FHazem Mastouri
Netherlands · 4-3-3
1GBart Verbruggen
22DDenzel Dumfries
6DJan Paul van Hecke
4DVirgil van Dijk
5DNathan Aké
8MRyan Gravenberch
21MFrenkie de Jong
14MTijjani Reijnders
18FDonyell Malen
19FBrian Brobbey
11FCody Gakpo

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Netherlands
Expected: Netherlands by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Tunisia 15%Draw 23%Netherlands 62%
xG: 0.71Expected goalsxG: 1.74

Tunisia vs Netherlands looks like a Netherlands-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Netherlands holds a slight edge according to our model, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Slight Edge
Netherlands stronger
Tunisia: 1453 (#31)  ·  Netherlands: 1622 (#8)
H2H Record ?
0–2–1
Netherlands leads
Avg 3.3 goals/game · 3 meetings
Tunisia
Netherlands
#4
Position ?
#1
0
Points ?
7
0W 0D 3L
Record ?
2W 1D 0L
2
Goals For ?
10
12
Goals Against ?
4
-10
Goal Diff
+6
#44
FIFA Rank ?
#7
0.1%
Win Prob ?
3.0%
L L L
Form ?
L W W D

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 3 Meetings (All Competitions)
0Tunisia
2Draw
1Netherlands
11 Feb 2009FriendlyTunisia1–1Netherlands
19 Jan 1994FriendlyTunisia2–2Netherlands
5 Apr 1978FriendlyTunisia0–4Netherlands
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Tunisia averaging 4.7 goals/game, Netherlands averaging 4.7. Combined 4.7 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Tunisia and Netherlands both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
🔥High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.3 goals across their last 3 meetings.
🎯Clear model favourite: Netherlands at 62% win probability.

Injuries & Absences

Tunisia — Injuries
A. Arous
A. Arous
Injury
M. Neffati
M. Neffati
Injury
Netherlands — Injuries
No injuries reported.
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