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Brazil vs Japan Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Round of 32
FT2–1
Monday 29 June 2026  ·  17:00 UTC  ·  NRG Stadium, Houston

Match Report

Match Events ?
12'🟨Kaishu Sano Japan
14'🟨Casemiro Brazil
29'K. Sano Japan
45'🟨Daichi Kamada Japan
48'🟨Danilo Brazil
56'Casemiro (Gabriel)Brazil
84'🟨Junnosuke Suzuki Japan
90'G. Martinelli (Bruno Guimaraes)Brazil
Match Statistics ?
Brazil
Japan
69%
Possession
31%
7
Shots on Target
2
19
Total Shots
5
6
Corners
2
4
Fouls
13
1.69
xG
0.23
Player Ratings ?
Brazil
8.0CasemiroM
7.9MarquinhosD
7.9Gabriel MagalhãesD
Japan
7.7Takehiro TomiyasuD
7.6Kaishu SanoM
7.2Zion SuzukiG
Starting Lineups ?
Brazil · 4-3-3
1GAlisson
13DDanilo
4DMarquinhos
3DGabriel
16DDouglas Santos
8MBruno Guimaraes
5MCasemiro
20MLucas Paqueta
26FRayan
9FM. Cunha
7FVinicius Junior
Japan · 3-4-2-1
1GZ. Suzuki
22DT. Tomiyasu
3DS. Taniguchi
21DH. Ito
10MR. Doan
24MK. Sano
15MD. Kamada
13MK. Nakamura
14FJ. Ito
11FD. Maeda
18FA. Ueda

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Tight game — likely a one-goal margin
Confidence: Low
Brazil 45%Draw 27%Japan 28%
xG: 1.41Expected goalsxG: 1.04

Brazil vs Japan looks like a balanced matchup based on our pre-tournament model. There is no clear favourite from our model data, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Evenly Matched
Evenly Matched
Brazil: 1621 (#9)  ·  Japan: 1586 (#14)
H2H Record ?
7–2–1
Brazil leads
Avg 3.2 goals/game · 10 meetings
Brazil
Japan
#1
Position ?
#2
7
Points ?
5
2W 1D 0L
Record ?
1W 2D 0L
7
Goals For ?
7
1
Goals Against ?
3
+6
Goal Diff
+4
#6
FIFA Rank ?
#18
2.6%
Win Prob ?
0.9%
L W W W D
Form ?
L D W D

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
1Brazil
0Draw
0Japan
22 Jun 2006FIFA World CupJapan1–4NBrazil
Last 10 Meetings (All Competitions)
7Brazil
2Draw
1Japan
14 Oct 2025Kirin CupJapan3–2Brazil
6 Jun 2022FriendlyJapan0–1Brazil
10 Nov 2017FriendlyJapan1–3NBrazil
14 Oct 2014FriendlyJapan0–4NBrazil
15 Jun 2013Confederations CupBrazil3–0Japan
16 Oct 2012FriendlyJapan0–4NBrazil
22 Jun 2006World CupJapan1–4NBrazil
22 Jun 2005Confederations CupJapan2–2NBrazil
4 Jun 2001Confederations CupJapan0–0Brazil
31 Mar 1999FriendlyJapan0–2Brazil
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Brazil averaging 2.7 goals/game, Japan averaging 3.3. Combined 3.0 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Brazil and Japan both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
🔥High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.2 goals across their last 10 meetings.

Injuries & Absences

Brazil — Injuries
Neymar
Neymar
Injury
Raphinha
Raphinha
Injury
Lucas Paquetá
Lucas Paquetá
Injury
Japan — Injuries
S. Machino
S. Machino
Injury
T. Kubo
T. Kubo
Injury
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