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Netherlands vs Morocco Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Round of 32
FT (Pens)1–1
(2–3 pens)
Tuesday 30 June 2026  ·  01:00 UTC  ·  Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
☁️Overcast15°C / 59°F

Match Report

Match Events ?
47'🟨I. Diop Morocco
72'C. Gakpo (C. Summerville)Netherlands
90'I. Diop (C. Talbi)Morocco
120'⚽ (P)T. Koopmeiners Netherlands
120'N. El Aynaoui Morocco
120'J. Kluivert Netherlands
120'⚽ (P)S. Rahimi Morocco
120'⚽ (P)W. Weghorst Netherlands
120'⚽ (P)C. Talbi Morocco
120'Q. Timber Netherlands
120'A. Hakimi Morocco
120'C. Summerville Netherlands
120'⚽ (P)I. Saibari Morocco
Match Statistics ?
Netherlands
Morocco
30%
Possession
70%
2
Shots on Target
5
6
Total Shots
11
5
Corners
8
18
Fouls
15
0.23
xG
1.40
Player Ratings ?
Netherlands
8.3Bart VerbruggenG
7.2Crysencio SummervilleF
7.0Wout WeghorstF
Morocco
7.7Noussair MazraouiD
7.3Issa DiopD
7.3Neil El AynaouiM
Starting Lineups ?
Netherlands · 3-4-2-1
1GBart Verbruggen
6DJan Paul van Hecke
4DVirgil van Dijk
5DNathan Aké
22MDenzel Dumfries
8MRyan Gravenberch
21MFrenkie de Jong
15MMicky van de Ven
24FCrysencio Summerville
11FCody Gakpo
19FBrian Brobbey
Morocco · 4-2-3-1
1GYassine Bounou
2DAchraf Hakimi
14DIssa Diop
18DChadi Riad
3DNoussair Mazraoui
6MAyyoub Bouaddi
24MNeil El Aynaoui
10MBrahim Díaz
8MAzzedine Ounahi
23MBilal El Khannouss
11FIsmael Saibari

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Low
Netherlands 39%Draw 27%Morocco 34%
xG: 1.27Expected goalsxG: 1.18

Netherlands vs Morocco looks like a balanced matchup based on our pre-tournament model. There is no clear favourite from our model data, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Evenly Matched
Evenly Matched
Netherlands: 1622 (#8)  ·  Morocco: 1678 (#4)
H2H Record ?
2–0–1
Netherlands leads
Avg 3.0 goals/game · 3 meetings
Netherlands
Morocco
#1
Position ?
#2
7
Points ?
7
2W 1D 0L
Record ?
2W 1D 0L
10
Goals For ?
6
4
Goals Against ?
3
+6
Goal Diff
+3
#7
FIFA Rank ?
#8
3.0%
Win Prob ?
8.0%
L W W D
Form ?
L W W W W

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
1Netherlands
0Draw
0Morocco
29 Jun 1994FIFA World CupMorocco1–2NNetherlands
Last 3 Meetings (All Competitions)
2Netherlands
0Draw
1Morocco
31 May 2017FriendlyMorocco1–2Netherlands
28 Apr 1999FriendlyNetherlands1–2Morocco
29 Jun 1994World CupMorocco1–2NNetherlands
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Netherlands averaging 4.7 goals/game, Morocco averaging 3.0. Combined 3.8 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Netherlands and Morocco both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
📈Morocco in excellent form — 12 pts from last 5 tournament matches.
📊Closely matched: model gives Netherlands 39% vs Morocco 34%. Draw is a realistic outcome at 27%.

Injuries & Absences

Netherlands — Injuries
No injuries reported.
Morocco — Injuries
I. Saibari
I. Saibari
Injury
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