France vs Sweden Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
Match Report
Match Events ?
45'Kylian Mbappé (Ousmane Dembélé)France
53'Bradley Barcola (Michael Olise)France
74'Kylian Mbappé (Michael Olise)France
Match Statistics ?
France
Sweden
61%
Possession
39%
12
Shots on Target
3
25
Total Shots
8
9
Corners
1
14
Fouls
10
3.17
xG
0.65
Player Ratings ?
Starting Lineups ?
France · 4-2-3-1
16G
5D
4D
17D
3D
8M
14M
7M
11M
12M
10F
Sweden · 4-4-2
1G
8D
2D
3D
5D
11M
7M
18M
24M
17F
9F
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: France
Expected: France by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
France 73%Draw 19%Sweden 8%
xG: 1.96Expected goalsxG: 0.49
France vs Sweden looks like a France-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. France has the stronger overall edge according to our model, with France by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Large Advantage
France stronger
France: 1725 (#2) · Sweden: 1420 (#35)
H2H Record ?
6–2–2
France leads
Avg 2.4 goals/game · 10 meetings
France
Sweden
#1
Position ?
#3
9
Points ?
4
3W 0D 0L
Record ?
1W 1D 1L
10
Goals For ?
7
2
Goals Against ?
7
+8
Goal Diff
0
#1
FIFA Rank ?
#38
18.0%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
L W W W W
Form ?
L D L W
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 10 Meetings (All Competitions)
17 Nov 2020Nations LeagueFrance4–2Sweden
5 Sep 2020Nations LeagueSweden0–1France
9 Jun 2017WC QualSweden2–1France
11 Nov 2016WC QualFrance2–1Sweden
18 Nov 2014FriendlyFrance1–0Sweden
19 Jun 2012UEFA EuroSweden2–0NFrance
20 Aug 2008FriendlySweden2–3France
9 Feb 2005FriendlyFrance1–1Sweden
22 Apr 1998FriendlySweden0–0France
2 Apr 1997FriendlyFrance1–0Sweden
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — France averaging 4.0 goals/game, Sweden averaging 4.7. Combined 4.3 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — France and Sweden both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
France in excellent form — 12 pts from last 5 tournament matches.
Clear model favourite: France at 73% win probability.
Injuries & Absences
France — Injuries
No injuries reported.
Sweden — Injuries
I. Hien
Injury