Japan vs Sweden Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
Match Report
Match Events ?
32'I. Hien Sweden
56'D. Maeda (R. Doan)Japan
62'A. Elanga (V. Gyokeres)Sweden
77'S. Taniguchi Japan
85'V. Gyokeres Sweden
Match Statistics ?
Japan
Sweden
52%
Possession
48%
3
Shots on Target
5
8
Total Shots
11
2
Corners
8
20
Fouls
11
1.21
xG
0.64
Player Ratings ?
Starting Lineups ?
Japan · 3-4-2-1
1G
20D
4D
21D
2M
7M
15M
13M
10F
11F
18F
Sweden · 3-4-3
1G
2D
4D
5D
21M
3M
18M
24M
11F
17F
9F
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Japan
Expected: Japan by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Japan 62%Draw 23%Sweden 15%
xG: 1.73Expected goalsxG: 0.72
Japan vs Sweden looks like a Japan-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Japan holds a slight edge according to our model, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Slight Edge
Japan stronger
Japan: 1586 (#14) · Sweden: 1420 (#35)
H2H Record ?
0–3–1
Sweden leads
Avg 2.2 goals/game · 4 meetings
Japan
Sweden
#2
Position ?
#3
5
Points ?
4
1W 2D 0L
Record ?
1W 1D 1L
7
Goals For ?
7
3
Goals Against ?
7
+4
Goal Diff
0
#18
FIFA Rank ?
#38
0.9%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
L D W D
Form ?
L D L W
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 4 Meetings (All Competitions)
25 May 2002FriendlyJapan1–1Sweden
13 Feb 1997King's CupJapan0–1NSweden
22 Feb 1996Lunar New Year CupJapan1–1NSweden
10 Jun 1995FriendlySweden2–2NJapan
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Japan averaging 3.3 goals/game, Sweden averaging 4.7. Combined 4.0 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Japan and Sweden both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
Clear model favourite: Japan at 62% win probability.
Injuries & Absences
Japan — Injuries
S. Machino
Injury
T. Kubo
Injury
Sweden — Injuries
I. Hien
Injury