Home / World Cup 2026 / Netherlands vs Sweden

Netherlands vs Sweden Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Group Stage, Match 2
Saturday 20 June 2026  ·  17:00 UTC  ·  NRG Stadium, Houston

Match Report

Match Events ?
5'Brian Brobbey (Cody Gakpo)Netherlands
17'Brian Brobbey (Denzel Dumfries)Netherlands
47'Cody Gakpo (Denzel Dumfries)Netherlands
53'🟨Gabriel Gudmundsson Sweden
54'Cody Gakpo (Crysencio Summerville)Netherlands
59'Anthony Elanga (Alexander Isak)Sweden
75'🟨Yasin Ayari Sweden
80'🟨Lucas Bergvall Sweden
89'Crysencio Summerville (Memphis Depay)Netherlands
Match Statistics ?
Netherlands
Sweden
51%
Possession
49%
7
Shots on Target
8
10
Total Shots
16
2
Corners
5
9
Fouls
12
2.47
xG
0.98
Player Ratings ?
Netherlands
9.6Cody GakpoF
8.6Denzel DumfriesD
8.5Crysencio SummervilleF
Sweden
7.9Anthony ElangaF
7.0Alexander IsakF
6.7Besfort ZeneliM
Starting Lineups ?
Netherlands · 4-3-3
1GBart Verbruggen
22DDenzel Dumfries
6DJan Paul van Hecke
4DVirgil van Dijk
15DMicky van de Ven
8MRyan Gravenberch
21MFrenkie de Jong
14MTijjani Reijnders
18FDonyell Malen
19FBrian Brobbey
11FCody Gakpo
Sweden · 3-1-4-2
23GKristoffer Nordfeldt
2DGustaf Lagerbielke
4DIsak Hien
3DVictor Lindelöf
16MJesper Karlström
21MAlexander Bernhardsson
10MBenjamin Nygren
18MYasin Ayari
5MGabriel Gudmundsson
17FViktor Gyökeres
9FAlexander Isak

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Netherlands
Expected: Netherlands by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Netherlands 67%Draw 21%Sweden 11%
xG: 1.84Expected goalsxG: 0.60

Netherlands vs Sweden looks like a Netherlands-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Netherlands has the stronger overall edge according to our model, with Netherlands by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Clear Edge
Netherlands stronger
Netherlands: 1622 (#8)  ·  Sweden: 1420 (#35)
H2H Record ?
4–4–2
Netherlands leads
Avg 3.1 goals/game · 10 meetings
Netherlands
Sweden
#1
Position ?
#3
7
Points ?
4
2W 1D 0L
Record ?
1W 1D 1L
10
Goals For ?
7
4
Goals Against ?
7
+6
Goal Diff
0
#7
FIFA Rank ?
#38
3.0%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
L W W D
Form ?
L D L W

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
0Netherlands
1Draw
0Sweden
19 Jun 1974FIFA World CupNetherlands0–0NSweden
Last 10 Meetings (All Competitions)
4Netherlands
4Draw
2Sweden
10 Oct 2017WC QualNetherlands2–0Sweden
6 Sep 2016WC QualSweden1–1Netherlands
11 Oct 2011Euro QualSweden3–2Netherlands
12 Oct 2010Euro QualNetherlands4–1Sweden
19 Nov 2008FriendlyNetherlands3–1Sweden
18 Aug 2004FriendlySweden2–2Netherlands
26 Jun 2004UEFA EuroSweden0–0NNetherlands
27 Apr 1983FriendlyNetherlands0–3Sweden
4 Sep 1974FriendlySweden1–5Netherlands
19 Jun 1974World CupNetherlands0–0NSweden
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Netherlands averaging 4.7 goals/game, Sweden averaging 4.7. Combined 4.7 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Netherlands and Sweden both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
🔥High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.1 goals across their last 10 meetings.
🎯Clear model favourite: Netherlands at 67% win probability.

Injuries & Absences

Netherlands — Injuries
No injuries reported.
Sweden — Injuries
I. Hien
I. Hien
Injury
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