USA vs Belgium Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
Match Report
Match Events ?
9'C. De Ketelaere (N. Raskin)Belgium
31'M. Tillman USA
33'C. De Ketelaere (L. Trossard)Belgium
35'W. McKennie USA
57'H. Vanaken (C. De Ketelaere)Belgium
69'M. Tillman USA
90'R. Lukaku (H. Vanaken)Belgium
Match Statistics ?
USA
Belgium
56%
Possession
44%
2
Shots on Target
7
7
Total Shots
15
3
Corners
5
11
Fouls
9
0.67
xG
2.15
Player Ratings ?
Starting Lineups ?
USA · 4-3-3
24G
16D
3D
13D
5D
8M
4M
17M
2F
20F
10F
Belgium · 4-2-3-1
1G
21D
25D
4D
5D
24M
23M
14M
8M
10M
17F
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Low
USA 33%Draw 27%Belgium 39%
xG: 1.16Expected goalsxG: 1.29
USA vs Belgium looks like a balanced matchup based on our pre-tournament model. There is no clear favourite from our model data, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Evenly Matched
Evenly Matched
USA: 1548 (#17) · Belgium: 1596 (#12)
H2H Record ?
1–0–7
Belgium leads
Avg 3.8 goals/game · 8 meetings
USA
Belgium
#1
Position ?
#1
6
Points ?
5
2W 0D 1L
Record ?
1W 2D 0L
8
Goals For ?
6
4
Goals Against ?
2
+4
Goal Diff
+4
#16
FIFA Rank ?
#9
1.6%
Win Prob ?
1.5%
L W L W W
Form ?
L W W W D
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
13 Jul 1930FIFA World CupBelgium0–3NUSA
1 Jul 2014FIFA World CupBelgium2–1NUSA
Last 8 Meetings (All Competitions)
28 Mar 2026FriendlyUSA2–5Belgium
1 Jul 2014World CupBelgium2–1NUSA
29 May 2013FriendlyUSA2–4Belgium
6 Sep 2011FriendlyBelgium1–0USA
25 Feb 1998FriendlyBelgium2–0USA
22 Apr 1995FriendlyBelgium1–0USA
13 Jul 1930World CupBelgium0–3NUSA
28 Jun 1919Inter-Allied GamesBelgium7–0NUSA
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — USA averaging 4.0 goals/game, Belgium averaging 2.7. Combined 3.3 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — USA and Belgium both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.8 goals across their last 8 meetings.
Closely matched: model gives USA 33% vs Belgium 39%. Draw is a realistic outcome at 27%.
Injuries & Absences
USA — Injuries
C. Pulišić
Injury
F. Balogun
Injury
M. McKenzie
Injury
C. Roldan
Injury
Belgium — Injuries
J. Doku
Injury
N. Ngoy
Injury
A. Onana
Injury
Z. Debast
Injury