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Senegal vs Iraq Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Group Stage, Match 3
FT5–0
Friday 26 June 2026  ·  19:00 UTC  ·  BMO Field, Toronto

Match Report

Match Events ?
4'Habib Diarra (Abdoulaye Seck)Senegal
13'🟥Rebin Sulaka Iraq
17'🟨Abdoulaye Seck Senegal
56'Ismaïla Sarr (Lamine Camara)Senegal
59'Pape Gueye (Ismaïla Sarr)Senegal
72'Pape Gueye (Iliman Ndiaye)Senegal
76'🟨Amir Al-Ammari Iraq
81'🟨Pape Gueye Senegal
82'Iliman Ndiaye (Pape Gueye)Senegal
90'🟨Merchas Doski Iraq
Match Statistics ?
Senegal
Iraq
69%
Possession
31%
12
Shots on Target
1
28
Total Shots
6
12
Corners
3
10
Fouls
11
3.10
xG
0.18
Player Ratings ?
Senegal
9.9Pape GueyeM
8.6Iliman NdiayeF
8.3Idrissa Gana GueyeM
Iraq
6.9Jalal HassanG
6.7Ali YousifF
6.6Ahmed BasilG
Starting Lineups ?
Senegal
23GMory Diaw
15DKrépin Diatta
4DAbdoulaye Seck
19DMoussa Niakhaté
14DIsmail Jakobs
21MHabib Diarra
5MIdrissa Gana Gueye
8MLamine Camara
20FIbrahim Mbaye
18FIsmaïla Sarr
10FSadio Mané
Iraq
22GAhmed Basil
26DFrans Putros
2DRebin Sulaka
5DAkam Hashem
23DMerchas Doski
14MZidane Iqbal
16MAmir Al-Ammari
11MAhmed Qasem
17MAli Jasim
8MIbrahim Bayesh
9FAli Al-Hamadi

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Senegal
Expected: Senegal by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Senegal 66%Draw 22%Iraq 12%
xG: 1.83Expected goalsxG: 0.62

Senegal vs Iraq looks like a Senegal-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Senegal has the stronger overall edge according to our model, with Senegal by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Clear Edge
Senegal stronger
Senegal: 1597 (#11)  ·  Iraq: 1400 (#38)
H2H Record ?
No data
Equal
First ever meeting
Senegal
Iraq
#3
Position ?
#4
3
Points ?
0
1W 0D 2L
Record ?
0W 0D 3L
8
Goals For ?
1
6
Goals Against ?
12
+2
Goal Diff
-11
#14
FIFA Rank ?
#57
1.8%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
L W L L
Form ?
L L L

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 0 Meetings (All Competitions)
No previous meetings found in our data.
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Senegal averaging 4.7 goals/game, Iraq averaging 4.3. Combined 4.5 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Senegal and Iraq both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
🎯Clear model favourite: Senegal at 66% win probability.

Injuries & Absences

Senegal — Injuries
É. Mendy
É. Mendy
Injury
Iraq — Injuries
No injuries reported.
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