Home / World Cup 2026 / Portugal vs Croatia

Portugal vs Croatia Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Round of 32
FT2–1
Thursday 2 July 2026  ·  23:00 UTC  ·  BMO Field, Toronto

Match Report

Match Events ?
17'🟨R. Dias Portugal
53'I. Perisic Croatia
59'🟨L. Modric Croatia
68'⚽ (P)C. Ronaldo Portugal
90'G. Ramos (R. Leao)Portugal
90'🟨I. Perisic Croatia
Match Statistics ?
Portugal
Croatia
61%
Possession
39%
3
Shots on Target
6
15
Total Shots
13
9
Corners
5
6
Fouls
12
2.18
xG
1.34
Player Ratings ?
Portugal
7.9Gonçalo RamosF
7.7Diogo CostaG
7.7Nuno MendesD
Croatia
7.9Ivan PerišićD
7.2Mateo KovačićM
6.9Luka ModrićM
Starting Lineups ?
Portugal · 4-2-3-1
1GDiogo Costa
20DJoão Cancelo
3DRúben Dias
13DRenato Veiga
25DNuno Mendes
15MJoão Neves
23MVitinha
18MPedro Neto
8MBruno Fernandes
17MRafael Leão
7FCristiano Ronaldo
Croatia · 4-2-3-1
1GDominik Livaković
2DJosip Stanišić
6DJosip Šutalo
3DMarin Pongračić
14DIvan Perišić
10MLuka Modrić
8MMateo Kovačić
13MNikola Vlašić
17MPetar Sučić
16MMartin Baturina
11FAnte Budimir

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Tight game — likely a one-goal margin
Confidence: Low
Portugal 43%Draw 27%Croatia 30%
xG: 1.37Expected goalsxG: 1.08

Portugal vs Croatia looks like a balanced matchup based on our pre-tournament model. There is no clear favourite from our model data, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Evenly Matched
Evenly Matched
Portugal: 1635 (#7)  ·  Croatia: 1601 (#10)
H2H Record ?
7–2–1
Portugal leads
Avg 2.7 goals/game · 10 meetings
Portugal
Croatia
#2
Position ?
#2
5
Points ?
6
1W 2D 0L
Record ?
2W 0D 1L
6
Goals For ?
5
1
Goals Against ?
5
+5
Goal Diff
0
#5
FIFA Rank ?
#11
4.3%
Win Prob ?
1.5%
L W D W D
Form ?
L W W L

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 10 Meetings (All Competitions)
7Portugal
2Draw
1Croatia
18 Nov 2024Nations LeagueCroatia1–1Portugal
5 Sep 2024Nations LeaguePortugal2–1Croatia
8 Jun 2024FriendlyPortugal1–2Croatia
17 Nov 2020Nations LeagueCroatia2–3Portugal
5 Sep 2020Nations LeaguePortugal4–1Croatia
6 Sep 2018FriendlyPortugal1–1Croatia
25 Jun 2016UEFA EuroCroatia0–1NPortugal
10 Jun 2013FriendlyCroatia0–1NPortugal
12 Nov 2005FriendlyPortugal2–0Croatia
19 Jun 1996UEFA EuroCroatia0–3NPortugal
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
Both teams scoring regularly — Portugal and Croatia both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
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