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Paraguay vs France Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Round of 16
FT0–1
Saturday 4 July 2026  ·  21:00 UTC  ·  Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

Match Report

Match Events ?
19'🟨B. Barcola France
70'⚽ (P)K. Mbappe France
81'🟨M. Kone France
90'🟨M. Olise France
Match Statistics ?
Paraguay
France
24%
Possession
76%
1
Shots on Target
5
5
Total Shots
15
2
Corners
12
13
Fouls
11
0.15
xG
1.36
Player Ratings ?
Paraguay
7.6Orlando GillG
7.2Andrés CubasM
7.0MauricioM
France
7.7Dayot UpamecanoD
7.6Mike MaignanG
7.3Kylian MbappéF
Starting Lineups ?
Paraguay · 5-4-1
12GOrlando Gill
4DJuan Cáceres
2DGustavo Velázquez
15DGustavo Gómez
3DOmar Alderete
6DJunior Alonso
10MMiguel Almirón
8MDiego Gómez
14MAndrés Cubas
23MMatías Galarza
19FJulio Enciso
France · 4-2-3-1
16GMike Maignan
5DJules Koundé
4DDayot Upamecano
17DWilliam Saliba
3DLucas Digne
6MManu Koné
14MAdrien Rabiot
7MOusmane Dembélé
11MMichael Olise
12MBradley Barcola
10FKylian Mbappé

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: France
Expected: France by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Paraguay 8%Draw 19%France 73%
xG: 0.49Expected goalsxG: 1.96

Paraguay vs France looks like a France-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. France has the stronger overall edge according to our model, with France by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Clear Edge
France stronger
Paraguay: 1433 (#32)  ·  France: 1725 (#2)
H2H Record ?
0–2–3
France leads
Avg 3.6 goals/game · 5 meetings
Paraguay
France
#3
Position ?
#1
4
Points ?
9
1W 1D 1L
Record ?
3W 0D 0L
2
Goals For ?
10
4
Goals Against ?
2
-2
Goal Diff
+8
#40
FIFA Rank ?
#1
0.0%
Win Prob ?
18.0%
L W D W L
Form ?
L W W W W

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
0Paraguay
0Draw
2France
8 Jun 1958FIFA World CupFrance7–3NParaguay
28 Jun 1998FIFA World CupFrance1–0Paraguay
Last 5 Meetings (All Competitions)
0Paraguay
2Draw
3France
2 Jun 2017FriendlyFrance5–0Paraguay
1 Jun 2014FriendlyFrance1–1Paraguay
31 May 2008FriendlyFrance0–0Paraguay
28 Jun 1998World CupFrance1–0Paraguay
8 Jun 1958World CupFrance7–3NParaguay
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Paraguay averaging 2.0 goals/game, France averaging 4.0. Combined 3.0 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Paraguay and France both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
🔥High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.6 goals across their last 5 meetings.
📈France in excellent form — 12 pts from last 5 tournament matches.
🎯Clear model favourite: France at 73% win probability.

Injuries & Absences

Paraguay — Injuries
M. Almirón
M. Almirón
Injury
D. Gómez
D. Gómez
Injury
France — Injuries
No injuries reported.
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