Home / World Cup 2026 / New Zealand vs Belgium

New Zealand vs Belgium Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Group Stage, Match 3
Saturday 27 June 2026  ·  03:00 UTC  ·  BC Place, Vancouver

Match Report

Match Events ?
28'L. Trossard Belgium
46'🟨M. Stamenic New Zealand
50'L. Trossard (H. Vanaken)Belgium
56'🟨E. Just New Zealand
66'K. De Bruyne Belgium
84'E. Just New Zealand
86'R. Lukaku (N. Raskin)Belgium
90'A. Saelemaekers (R. Lukaku)Belgium
Match Statistics ?
New Zealand
Belgium
45%
Possession
55%
2
Shots on Target
10
6
Total Shots
35
5
Corners
8
10
Fouls
7
0.24
xG
3.60
Player Ratings ?
New Zealand
7.3Elijah JustM
7.2Sarpreet SinghM
6.9Marko StamenićM
Belgium
9.0Kevin De BruyneM
8.7Leandro TrossardM
7.9Alexis SaelemaekersF
Starting Lineups ?
New Zealand · 4-2-3-1
1GMax Crocombe
2DTim Payne
16DFinn Surman
4DTyler Bindon
13DLiberato Cacace
6MJoe Bell
8MMarko Stamenić
10MSarpreet Singh
23MRyan Thomas
11MElijah Just
9FChris Wood
Belgium · 4-2-3-1
1GThibaut Courtois
21DTimothy Castagne
4DBrandon Mechele
3DArthur Theate
5DMaxim De Cuyper
8MYouri Tielemans
20MHans Vanaken
11MJérémy Doku
7MKevin De Bruyne
10MLeandro Trossard
17FCharles De Ketelaere

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Belgium
Expected: Belgium by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
New Zealand 8%Draw 19%Belgium 73%
xG: 0.49Expected goalsxG: 1.96

New Zealand vs Belgium looks like a Belgium-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Belgium has the stronger overall edge according to our model, with Belgium by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Large Advantage
Belgium stronger
New Zealand: 1282 (#47)  ·  Belgium: 1596 (#12)
H2H Record ?
No data
Equal
First ever meeting
New Zealand
Belgium
#4
Position ?
#1
1
Points ?
5
0W 1D 2L
Record ?
1W 2D 0L
4
Goals For ?
6
10
Goals Against ?
2
-6
Goal Diff
+4
#85
FIFA Rank ?
#9
0.0%
Win Prob ?
1.5%
L L D
Form ?
L W W W D

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 0 Meetings (All Competitions)
No previous meetings found in our data.
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — New Zealand averaging 4.7 goals/game, Belgium averaging 2.7. Combined 3.7 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — New Zealand and Belgium both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
🎯Clear model favourite: Belgium at 73% win probability.

Injuries & Absences

New Zealand — Injuries
No injuries reported.
Belgium — Injuries
J. Doku
J. Doku
Injury
N. Ngoy
N. Ngoy
Injury
A. Onana
A. Onana
Injury
Z. Debast
Z. Debast
Injury
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