Germany vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
Match Report
Match Events ?
42'J. Enciso (M. Galarza)Paraguay
54'K. Havertz (F. Wirtz)Germany
65'A. Cubas Paraguay
105'Gustavo Julio Alfaro Paraguay
105'Julian Nagelsmann Germany
106'K. Havertz Germany
115'J. Musiala Germany
116'Mads Buttgereit Germany
117'Alejandro Juan Manograsso Paraguay
117'M. Galarza Paraguay
122'K. Havertz Germany
124'Maurício Paraguay
125'J. Kimmich Germany
125'G. Gómez Paraguay
126'J. Musiala Germany
127'M. Galarza Paraguay
128'N. Woltemade Germany
129'A. Sanabria Paraguay
130'N. Amiri Germany
131'F. Balbuena Paraguay
132'J. Tah Germany
132'J. Canale Paraguay
Match Statistics ?
Germany
Paraguay
75%
Possession
25%
6
Shots on Target
3
21
Total Shots
7
16
Corners
6
18
Fouls
12
1.49
xG
0.42
Player Ratings ?
Starting Lineups ?
Germany · 4-4-2
1G
6D
4D
2D
18D
19M
23M
5M
17M
7F
26F
Paraguay · 4-4-2
12G
4D
15D
13D
6D
10M
16M
14M
23M
21F
19F
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Germany
Expected: Germany by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Germany 63%Draw 23%Paraguay 15%
xG: 1.75Expected goalsxG: 0.70
Germany vs Paraguay looks like a Germany-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Germany holds a slight edge according to our model, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Advertisement
Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Clear Edge
Germany stronger
Germany: 1641 (#6) · Paraguay: 1433 (#32)
H2H Record ?
1–1–0
Germany leads
Avg 3.5 goals/game · 2 meetings
Germany
Paraguay
#1
Position ?
#3
6
Points ?
4
2W 0D 1L
Record ?
1W 1D 1L
10
Goals For ?
2
4
Goals Against ?
4
+6
Goal Diff
-2
#10
FIFA Rank ?
#40
4.7%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
L L W W
Form ?
L W D W L
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
15 Jun 2002FIFA World CupGermany1–0NParaguay
Last 2 Meetings (All Competitions)
14 Aug 2013FriendlyGermany3–3Paraguay
15 Jun 2002World CupGermany1–0NParaguay
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Germany averaging 4.7 goals/game, Paraguay averaging 2.0. Combined 3.3 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Germany and Paraguay both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
Clear model favourite: Germany at 63% win probability.
Injuries & Absences
Germany — Injuries
N. Brown
Injury
N. Schlotterbeck
Injury
Paraguay — Injuries
M. Almirón
Injury
D. Gómez
Injury