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Germany vs Curaçao Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Group Stage, Match 1
FT7–1
Sunday 14 June 2026  ·  17:00 UTC  ·  NRG Stadium, Houston

Match Report

Match Events ?
6'F. Nmecha (F. Wirtz)Germany
21'L. Comenencia Curaçao
38'N. Schlotterbeck (N. Brown)Germany
45'⚽ (P)K. Havertz Germany
47'J. Musiala (J. Kimmich)Germany
68'N. Brown (D. Undav)Germany
78'D. Undav (J. Kimmich)Germany
88'K. Havertz (D. Undav)Germany
Match Statistics ?
Germany
Curaçao
65%
Possession
35%
12
Shots on Target
2
27
Total Shots
8
8
Corners
1
18
Fouls
11
3.91
xG
0.40
Player Ratings ?
Germany
8.9Deniz UndavF
8.6Felix NmechaM
8.2Joshua KimmichD
Curaçao
7.2Livano ComenenciaM
7.0Leandro BacunaM
7.0Jeremy AntonisseF
Starting Lineups ?
Germany · 4-2-3-1
1GManuel Neuer
6DJoshua Kimmich
4DJonathan Tah
15DNico Schlotterbeck
18DNathaniel Brown
23MFelix Nmecha
5MAleksandar Pavlović
19MLeroy Sané
10MJamal Musiala
17MFlorian Wirtz
7FKai Havertz
Curaçao · 4-3-1-2
1GEloy Room
5DSherel Constancio Floranus
23DRiechedly Bazoer
18DArmando Obispo
24DDeveron Fonville
8MLivano Comenencia
10MLeandro Bacuna
7MJuninho Bacuna
21MTahith Chong
9FJürgen Locadia
12FSontje Hansen

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Germany
Expected: Germany by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Germany 73%Draw 19%Curaçao 8%
xG: 1.96Expected goalsxG: 0.49

Germany vs Curaçao looks like a Germany-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Germany has the stronger overall edge according to our model, with Germany by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Large Advantage
Germany stronger
Germany: 1641 (#6)  ·  Curaçao: 1296 (#46)
H2H Record ?
No data
Equal
First ever meeting
Germany
Curaçao
#1
Position ?
#4
6
Points ?
1
2W 0D 1L
Record ?
0W 1D 2L
10
Goals For ?
1
4
Goals Against ?
9
+6
Goal Diff
-8
#10
FIFA Rank ?
#82
4.7%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
L L W W
Form ?
L D L

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 0 Meetings (All Competitions)
No previous meetings found in our data.
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Germany averaging 4.7 goals/game, Curaçao averaging 3.3. Combined 4.0 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Germany and Curaçao both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
🎯Clear model favourite: Germany at 73% win probability.

Injuries & Absences

Germany — Injuries
N. Brown
N. Brown
Injury
N. Schlotterbeck
N. Schlotterbeck
Injury
Curaçao — Injuries
No injuries reported.
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