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France vs Spain Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Semi-finals
FT0–2
Tuesday 14 July 2026  ·  19:00 UTC  ·  Dallas Stadium, Arlington

Match Report

Match Events ?
9'🟨Adrien Rabiot France
22'⚽ (P)Mikel Oyarzabal Spain
31'🟨Marc Cucurella Spain
58'Pedro Porro (Dani Olmo)Spain
86'🟨Kylian Mbappé France
Match Statistics ?
France
Spain
49%
Possession
51%
3
Shots on Target
2
10
Total Shots
10
7
Corners
1
11
Fouls
12
0.30
xG
1.63
Player Ratings ?
France
7.0Désiré DouéF
6.9Aurélien TchouaméniM
6.6Ousmane DembéléM
Spain
8.2Pedro PorroD
7.7RodriM
7.5Pau CubarsíD
Starting Lineups ?
France
16GMike Maignan
5DJules Koundé
4DDayot Upamecano
17DWilliam Saliba
3DLucas Digne
8MAurélien Tchouaméni
14MAdrien Rabiot
7MOusmane Dembélé
11MMichael Olise
12MBradley Barcola
10FKylian Mbappé
Spain
23GUnai Simón
12DPedro Porro
22DPau Cubarsí
14DAymeric Laporte
24DMarc Cucurella
16MRodri
8MFabián Ruiz
19MLamine Yamal
10MDani Olmo
15MAlex Baena
21FMikel Oyarzabal

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Low
France 41%Draw 27%Spain 32%
xG: 1.31Expected goalsxG: 1.14

France vs Spain looks like a balanced matchup based on our pre-tournament model. There is no clear favourite from our model data, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
37%
France to Win
Home: 37%  Draw: 32%  Away: 31%
Model Rating Edge ?
Evenly Matched
Evenly Matched
France: 1725 (#2)  ·  Spain: 1743 (#1)
H2H Record ?
2–1–7
Spain leads
Avg 2.6 goals/game · 10 meetings
France
Spain
#1
Position ?
#1
9
Points ?
7
3W 0D 0L
Record ?
2W 1D 0L
10
Goals For ?
5
2
Goals Against ?
0
+8
Goal Diff
+5
#1
FIFA Rank ?
#2
18.0%
Win Prob ?
21.2%
L W W W W
Form ?
W W W W W

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
1France
0Draw
0Spain
27 Jun 2006FIFA World CupSpain1–3NFrance
Last 10 Meetings (All Competitions)
2France
1Draw
7Spain
5 Jun 2025Nations LeagueSpain5–4NFrance
9 Jul 2024UEFA EuroSpain2–1NFrance
10 Oct 2021Nations LeagueSpain1–2NFrance
28 Mar 2017FriendlyFrance0–2Spain
4 Sep 2014FriendlyFrance1–0Spain
26 Mar 2013WC QualFrance0–1Spain
16 Oct 2012WC QualSpain1–1France
23 Jun 2012UEFA EuroSpain2–0NFrance
3 Mar 2010FriendlyFrance0–2Spain
6 Feb 2008FriendlySpain1–0France
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
📈France in excellent form — 12 pts from last 5 tournament matches.
📈Spain in excellent form — 15 pts from last 5 tournament matches.
📊Closely matched: model gives France 41% vs Spain 32%. Draw is a realistic outcome at 27%.
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