Ecuador vs Germany Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
Match Report
Match Events ?
2'Leroy Sané (Florian Wirtz)Germany
9'Nilson Angulo (Pedro Vite)Ecuador
43'Piero Hincapié Ecuador
44'Aleksandar Pavlović Germany
50'Alan Franco Ecuador
77'Gonzalo Plata (Kevin Rodriguez)Ecuador
89'Gonzalo Plata Ecuador
Match Statistics ?
Ecuador
Germany
39%
Possession
61%
3
Shots on Target
3
7
Total Shots
11
3
Corners
2
15
Fouls
10
1.27
xG
0.65
Player Ratings ?
Starting Lineups ?
Ecuador · 4-4-2
1G
21D
4D
6D
3D
9M
23M
15M
20M
19F
13F
Germany · 3-4-2-1
1G
6D
4D
2D
19M
23M
5M
22M
10F
17F
7F
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Germany
Expected: Germany by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Ecuador 17%Draw 24%Germany 59%
xG: 0.77Expected goalsxG: 1.68
Ecuador vs Germany looks like a Germany-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Germany holds a slight edge according to our model, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Slight Edge
Germany stronger
Ecuador: 1492 (#26) · Germany: 1641 (#6)
H2H Record ?
0–0–2
Germany leads
Avg 4.5 goals/game · 2 meetings
Ecuador
Germany
#3
Position ?
#1
4
Points ?
6
1W 1D 1L
Record ?
2W 0D 1L
2
Goals For ?
10
2
Goals Against ?
4
0
Goal Diff
+6
#23
FIFA Rank ?
#10
0.2%
Win Prob ?
4.7%
L W D L
Form ?
L L W W
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
20 Jun 2006FIFA World CupGermany3–0Ecuador
Last 2 Meetings (All Competitions)
29 May 2013FriendlyEcuador2–4NGermany
20 Jun 2006World CupGermany3–0Ecuador
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Ecuador averaging 1.3 goals/game, Germany averaging 4.7. Combined 3.0 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Ecuador and Germany both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
Injuries & Absences
Ecuador — Injuries
No injuries reported.
Germany — Injuries
N. Brown
Injury
N. Schlotterbeck
Injury