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Czech Republic vs Mexico Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Group Stage, Match 3
Thursday 25 June 2026  ·  01:00 UTC  ·  Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

Match Report

Match Events ?
55'M. Chavez Garcia (L. Romo)Mexico
61'J. Quinones (J. Sanchez)Mexico
64'🟨E. Alvarez Mexico
90'A. Fidalgo (R. Alvarado)Mexico
Match Statistics ?
Czech Republic
Mexico
52%
Possession
48%
1
Shots on Target
5
13
Total Shots
11
5
Corners
1
9
Fouls
13
0.47
xG
1.79
Player Ratings ?
Czech Republic
7.0Adam HložekF
6.9Michal SadílekM
6.7Vladimír CoufalM
Mexico
8.2Mateo ChávezD
7.5Israel ReyesD
7.2Raúl RangelG
Starting Lineups ?
Czech Republic · 3-4-2-1
1GMatěj Kovář
3DTomáš Holeš
4DRobin Hranáč
7DLadislav Krejčí
5MVladimír Coufal
12MLukáš Červ
18MMichal Sadílek
21MDavid Douděra
15FPavel Šulc
26FDenis Višinský
9FAdam Hložek
Mexico · 4-3-3
1GRaúl Rangel
2DJorge Sánchez
3DCésar Montes
15DIsrael Reyes
20DMateo Chávez
19MGilberto Mora
4MEdson Álvarez
7MLuis Romo
25FRoberto Alvarado
22FGuillermo Martínez
16FJulián Quiñones

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Mexico
Expected: Mexico by 1–2 goals
Confidence: High
Czech Republic 11%Draw 21%Mexico 68%
xG: 0.59Expected goalsxG: 1.86

Czech Republic vs Mexico looks like a Mexico-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Mexico has the stronger overall edge according to our model, with Mexico by 1–2 goals. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Slight Edge
Mexico stronger
Czech Republic: 1418 (#36)  ·  Mexico: 1590 (#13)
H2H Record ?
1–0–0
Czech Republic leads
Avg 3.0 goals/game · 1 meetings
Czech Republic
Mexico
#4
Position ?
#1
1
Points ?
9
0W 1D 2L
Record ?
3W 0D 0L
2
Goals For ?
6
6
Goals Against ?
0
-4
Goal Diff
+6
#41
FIFA Rank ?
#15
0.0%
Win Prob ?
3.0%
L D L
Form ?
L W W W W

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 1 Meetings (All Competitions)
1Czech Republic
0Draw
0Mexico
8 Feb 2000Lunar New Year CupMexico1–2NCzech Republic
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
📈Mexico in excellent form — 12 pts from last 5 tournament matches.
🎯Clear model favourite: Mexico at 68% win probability.

Injuries & Absences

Czech Republic — Injuries
D. Jurásek
D. Jurásek
Injury
Mexico — Injuries
No injuries reported.
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