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Canada vs Morocco Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Round of 16
FT0–3
Saturday 4 July 2026  ·  17:00 UTC  ·  NRG Stadium, Houston

Match Report

Match Events ?
20'🟨R. Halhal Morocco
40'🟨A. Hakimi Morocco
40'🟨R. Laryea Canada
43'🟨J. David Canada
45'🟨A. Ounahi Morocco
45'🟨B. El Khannouss Morocco
49'🟨L. De Fougerolles Canada
50'A. Ounahi (A. Hakimi)Morocco
67'🟨C. Larin Canada
82'A. Ounahi (B. Diaz)Morocco
90'S. Rahimi (B. Diaz)Morocco
Match Statistics ?
Canada
Morocco
45%
Possession
55%
3
Shots on Target
4
11
Total Shots
5
11
Corners
1
24
Fouls
14
0.86
xG
0.78
Player Ratings ?
Canada
7.5Stephen EustaquioM
7.3Tani OluwaseyiF
6.9Niko SigurM
Morocco
9.2Azzedine OunahiM
7.9Noussair MazraouiD
7.6Yassine BounouG
Starting Lineups ?
Canada · 4-4-2
16GMaxime Crépeau
2DAlistair Johnston
15DMoise Bombito
4DLuc De Fougerolles
22DRichie Laryea
17MTajon Buchanan
23MNiko Sigur
7MStephen Eustaquio
20MAli Ahmed
10FJonathan David
12FTani Oluwaseyi
Morocco · 4-2-3-1
1GYassine Bounou
2DAchraf Hakimi
14DIssa Diop
25DRedouane Halhal
3DNoussair Mazraoui
6MAyyoub Bouaddi
24MNeil El Aynaoui
10MBrahim Díaz
8MAzzedine Ounahi
23MBilal El Khannouss
11FIsmael Saibari

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Tight game — likely a one-goal margin
Confidence: Low
Canada 24%Draw 26%Morocco 50%
xG: 0.95Expected goalsxG: 1.50

Canada vs Morocco looks like a balanced matchup based on our pre-tournament model. There is no clear favourite from our model data, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

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Win Probability (Market) ?
No odds data available
Model Rating Edge ?
Clear Edge
Morocco stronger
Canada: 1466 (#30)  ·  Morocco: 1678 (#4)
H2H Record ?
0–1–3
Morocco leads
Avg 3.5 goals/game · 4 meetings
Canada
Morocco
#2
Position ?
#2
4
Points ?
7
1W 1D 1L
Record ?
2W 1D 0L
8
Goals For ?
6
3
Goals Against ?
3
+5
Goal Diff
+3
#30
FIFA Rank ?
#8
0.1%
Win Prob ?
8.0%
L W L W D
Form ?
L W W W W

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
0Canada
0Draw
1Morocco
1 Dec 2022FIFA World CupCanada1–2NMorocco
Last 4 Meetings (All Competitions)
0Canada
1Draw
3Morocco
1 Dec 2022World CupCanada1–2NMorocco
11 Oct 2016FriendlyMorocco4–0Canada
1 Jun 1994FriendlyCanada1–1Morocco
24 Oct 1984FriendlyMorocco3–2Canada
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring tournament form — Canada averaging 3.7 goals/game, Morocco averaging 3.0. Combined 3.3 goals/game points to Over 2.5.
Both teams scoring regularly — Canada and Morocco both conceding in tournament matches. BTTS looks likely.
🔥High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.5 goals across their last 4 meetings.
📈Morocco in excellent form — 12 pts from last 5 tournament matches.

Injuries & Absences

Canada — Injuries
A. Jones
A. Jones
Injury
I. Koné
I. Koné
Injury
Morocco — Injuries
I. Saibari
I. Saibari
Injury
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