Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Papara Park
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.26
Draw
7.00
Away Win
10.24
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep
Stefan Savić (Ernest Muçi) ⚽
45+2'
60'
🟨 Juninho Bacuna
Ernest Muçi (Noah Saviolo) ⚽
61'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
18
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
6
4
Corner Kicks
2
7
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
1
4
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Trabzonspor (4-1-4-1)
André Onana
Wagner Pina
Chibuike Nwaiwu
Stefan Savić
Sidny Lopes Cabral
Fabinho
Mohamed Salah
Melih Kabasakal
Ernest Muçi
Noah Saviolo
Paul Onuachu
Gaziantep (4-2-3-1)
Ataberk Dadakdeniz
Luis Pérez
Efe Sarıkaya
Abakar Sylla
Kerim Çalhanoğlu
Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo
Juninho Bacuna
Deian Sorescu
Drissa Camara
Kacper Kozłowski
Trivante Stewart
Player Ratings ?
Trabzonspor
André OnanaG8.7
Chibuike NwaiwuD8.3
Ernest MuçiM8.3
Gaziantep
Kerim ÇalhanoğluD7.2
Juninho BacunaM7.2
Abakar SyllaD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Trabzonspor an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Trabzonspor arrive at home with a flawless record in their last five outings, while Gaziantep have secured just two victories from their last five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in every home match of their last five visits and also kept clean sheets across that same span. Both squads carry injury concerns, with Trabzonspor facing four confirmed absences alongside one doubtful player, while Gaziantep have two confirmed out and one questionable for selection. Trabzonspor rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Trabzonspor won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 22 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Gaziantep's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Trabzonspor's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points, while Gaziantep's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Trabzonspor.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
62%
Gaziantep yellow cards after 75'
15
Trabzonspor points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Trabzonspor win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Trabzonspor win
Latest market chance 74.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
67.4% → 74.7%
+7.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 15.2%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
19.0% → 15.2%
−3.8 pts
Gaziantep win
Latest market chance 10.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
13.7% → 10.1%
−3.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+7.5+3.750−3.75Oct 26Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Trabzonspor
Draw
Gaziantep
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
14th
9
Games Played
9
2.11
Points/Game
0.89
2.44
Goals/Game
1.00
0.89
Conceded/Game
1.67
14.9
Shots/Game
13.9
6.5
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Trabzonspor at home (7 matches) vs Gaziantep away (6 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
3.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.14
Conceded/Game
1.67
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Trabzonspor
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3.4
Goals scored
per match
0.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
5/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Gaziantep
Away form
W
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Trabzonspor Wins
3
Draws
2
Gaziantep Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.2
2026-02-222025-2026
Gaziantep1 – 2Trabzonspor
2025-09-202025-2026
Trabzonspor1 – 1Gaziantep
2025-02-232024-2025
Trabzonspor3 – 2Gaziantep
2024-09-232024-2025
Gaziantep0 – 0Trabzonspor
2024-04-282023-2024
Trabzonspor4 – 2Gaziantep
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Trabzonspor
vs
Gaziantep
Recent Scoring Profile
2.60
Goals scored / game
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
86.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
69.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
49.3%
BTTSBoth teams score
55.7%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 67.9%+6.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 26Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 55.4%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Oct 26Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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