Trabzonspor vs Besiktas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Papara Park
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.59
Draw
3.84
Away Win
2.55
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Trabzonspor
Besiktas
O. Tufan ⚽
21'
32'
🟨 F. Miretti
Fabinho 🟨
33'
60'
🟨 E. Topcu
M. Salah (Franculino) ⚽
71'
85'
🟨 I. Fakili
90'
🟨 K. Ouattara
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
13
Total Shots
19
8
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
6
11
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
4
2
Offsides
5
7
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Trabzonspor (4-2-3-1)
André Onana
Wagner Pina
Chibuike Nwaiwu
Stefan Savić
Sidny Lopes Cabral
Ozan Tufan
Fabinho
Mohamed Salah
Ernest Muçi
Aral Şimşir
Franculino Djú
Besiktas (4-1-4-1)
Alexander Nübel
Amir Murillo
Emmanuel Agbadou
Emirhan Topçu
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Salih Özcan
Václav Černý
Junior Olaitan
Fabio Miretti
Leandro Trossard
Dušan Vlahović
Player Ratings ?
Trabzonspor
André OnanaG8.9
Chibuike NwaiwuD7.9
Mohamed SalahM7.9
Besiktas
Emmanuel AgbadouD7.5
Emirhan TopçuD7.3
Salih ÖzcanM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Trabzonspor edge defence and head-to-head, Besiktas edge recent form, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Besiktas slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Trabzonspor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Trabzonspor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Trabzonspor have enjoyed a robust run at home with four wins from their last five outings across seasons, while Besiktas have been more mixed away from home with two victories and two defeats in that same span. The hosts have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept three clean sheets during that period. Trabzonspor face two confirmed absences and two players in doubt, whereas Besiktas have two confirmed absences with no doubts surrounding their squad. Besiktas hold a slight advantage in form, while Trabzonspor hold a slight advantage in defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Trabzonspor won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 9 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Besiktas's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 7-day comparison window, Trabzonspor's implied win probability has risen by 8.9 percentage points, while Besiktas's implied win probability has fallen by 9.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Besiktas
Besiktas's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Besiktas win as less likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Trabzonspor win
Latest market chance 36.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
27.8% → 36.7%
+8.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 25.3%
+0.6 pts
Besiktas win
Latest market chance 38.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
47.5% → 38.0%
−9.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
8 snapshots
+9.5+4.750−4.75Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16Oct 17Oct 19
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Trabzonspor
Draw
Besiktas
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Trabzonspor
Besiktas
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
4th
7
Games Played
7
1.86
Points/Game
2.14
2.29
Goals/Game
2.29
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.14
14.9
Shots/Game
17.0
6.5
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away Context
Trabzonspor at home (7 matches) vs Besiktas away (6 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.67
3.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.14
Conceded/Game
1.83
100%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Trabzonspor
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3.4
Goals scored
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Besiktas
Away form
D
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Trabzonspor Wins
2
Draws
2
Besiktas Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
2026-10-182026-2027
Trabzonspor2 – 0Besiktas
2026-05-092025-2026
Besiktas1 – 2Trabzonspor
2025-12-142025-2026
Trabzonspor3 – 3Besiktas
2025-02-152024-2025
Besiktas2 – 1Trabzonspor
2024-09-152024-2025
Trabzonspor1 – 1Besiktas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Trabzonspor
vs
Besiktas
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
2.10
0.50
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
61.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
40.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
64.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.2%→Latest 61.5%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16Oct 17Oct 19
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 7 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 64.4%+3.5 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16Oct 17Oct 19
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 7 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Besiktas's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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