Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.83
Draw
3.77
Away Win
1.94
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Logi Tomasson 🟨
7'
28'
⚽ E. Muci (M. Eskihellac)
39'
⚽ C. Nwaiwu
40'
⚽ Franculino (M. Salah)
Elliot Watt 🟨
43'
43'
🟥 Melih Kabasakal
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
23
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
7
9
Corner Kicks
5
22
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Samsunspor (4-2-3-1)
O. Kocuk
J. Mendes
Y. E. Cift
G. Guarino
L. Tomasson
C. Yuksel
E. Watt
T. Coulibaly
A. Sekongo
E. Kilinc
M. Bayo
Trabzonspor (4-2-3-1)
A. Onana
W. Pina
C. Nwaiwu
S. Savic
M. Eskihellac
M. Kabasakal
Fabinho
M. Salah
E. Muci
A. Simsir
Franculino
Player Ratings ?
Samsunspor
Yalçın KayanM7.9
Gabriele GuarinoD6.9
Mohamed BayoF6.9
Trabzonspor
Mustafa EskihellaçD8.7
André OnanaG8.5
Chibuike NwaiwuD8.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Trabzonspor edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Trabzonspor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Trabzonspor have secured just one victory from their last five away outings, while Samsunspor mirror that struggle at home with only a solitary win in their last five matches. Samsunspor have found the net in four of their last five home matches, though they have managed just one clean sheet in that same sample. Five players are unavailable for Samsunspor ahead of the fixture, while four teammates face similar absence concerns for Trabzonspor. Trabzonspor rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Trabzonspor won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 7 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Samsunspor's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Samsunspor's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Trabzonspor's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Samsunspor
Samsunspor's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Samsunspor win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Trabzonspor remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Samsunspor win
Latest market chance 26.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.3% → 26.3%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 25.8%
±0.0 pts
Trabzonspor win
Latest market chance 47.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
46.9% → 47.9%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Samsunspor
Draw
Trabzonspor
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SamsunsporTrabzonspor
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
7th
6
Games Played
6
0.67
Points/Game
1.67
1.00
Goals/Game
2.17
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.83
12.6
Shots/Game
14.9
3.3
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away Context
Samsunspor at home (9 matches) vs Trabzonspor away (9 matches)
0.44
Points/Game
1.78
0.89
Goals/Game
2.00
2.78
Conceded/Game
1.22
11%
Win Rate
56%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Samsunspor
Home form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Trabzonspor
Away form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Samsunspor Wins
2
Draws
2
Trabzonspor Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Samsunspor0 – 3Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor1 – 1Samsunspor
Trabzonspor2 – 2Samsunspor
Samsunspor2 – 1Trabzonspor
Samsunspor3 – 1Trabzonspor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Samsunsporvs
Trabzonspor
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 57.0%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 59.0%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Samsunspor's 10 matches and 2 of Trabzonspor's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?