Samsunspor vs Amedspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.54
Draw
3.68
Away Win
2.06
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Samsunspor
Amedspor
Yunus Emre Çift 🟨
-5'
3'
🟨 Dia Saba
L. Tomasson (T. Coulibaly) ⚽
21'
Afonso Sousa 🟨
36'
Bilal Bayazit 🟨
37'
Afonso Sousa 🟨
37'
Afonso Sousa 🟥
37'
45'
🟨 Furkan Soyalp
48'
🟨 Lumbardh Dellova
60'
🟨 Mbaye Diagne
61'
🟨 Mbaye Diagne
61'
🟥 Mbaye Diagne
73'
⚽ (P) G. Orban
84'
⚽ D. Saba (G. Orban)
Elayis Tavsan 🟨
89'
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
22
3
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
8
15
Fouls
16
5
Yellow Cards
5
1
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Samsunspor (3-5-2)
B. Bayazit
S. Erakovic
G. Guarino
I. Drapinski
J. Mendes
A. Sekongo
E. Watt
A. Sousa
L. Tomasson
T. Coulibaly
M. Bayo
Amedspor (4-2-3-1)
A. Lafont
E. Krasniqi
L. Dellova
D. Bates
U. Meras
R. Raveloson
F. Soyalp
S. Ballet
D. Saba
M. Khalil
G. Orban
Player Ratings ?
Samsunspor
Logi TomassonM7.5
Elliot WattM7.3
Strahinja ErakovićD7.0
Amedspor
Lumbardh DellovaD7.7
Rayan RavelosonM7.5
Dia SabaM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Amedspor
Amedspor rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Amedspor a strong edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Amedspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Amedspor stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Amedspor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Samsunspor have endured five consecutive home defeats in their last five matches, while Amedspor have recorded three draws and a single loss across their previous four away fixtures. At home, Samsunspor have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five outings and have scored in just two of those same five matches. Samsunspor face three confirmed absences, whereas Amedspor will be without two players with one additional doubt hanging over their squad. Amedspor rate stronger on form, attack and defence. Over the 5-day comparison window, Samsunspor's implied win probability has fallen by 6.3 percentage points, while Amedspor's implied win probability has risen by 7.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Amedspor a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
52%
Amedspor yellow cards after 75'
0
Samsunspor points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Amedspor
Amedspor's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Amedspor win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Samsunspor win
Latest market chance 27.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
34.0% → 27.7%
−6.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.7% → 26.3%
−1.4 pts
Amedspor win
Latest market chance 46.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
38.3% → 46.0%
+7.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Samsunspor
Draw
Amedspor
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SamsunsporAmedspor
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
2nd
8
Games Played
8
0.50
Points/Game
2.13
0.88
Goals/Game
2.25
2.38
Conceded/Game
1.12
12.6
Shots/Game
16.0
3.3
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Samsunspor at home (9 matches) vs Amedspor away (8 matches)
0.44
Points/Game
1.12
0.89
Goals/Game
2.00
2.78
Conceded/Game
2.25
11%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Samsunspor
Home form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Amedspor
Away form
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 4 away
Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for Amedspor.
1.5
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/4
Scored in
last 4
last 4
0/4
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Samsunspor and Amedspor.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Samsunsporvs
Amedspor
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
2.10
2.70
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 51.5%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 55.6%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?