Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.69
Draw
4.04
Away Win
1.93
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 4
Match Events ?
Rizespor
Trabzonspor
G. Borrelli ⚽
12'
Z. Ariss 🟨
14'
G. Borrelli (A. Mebude) ⚽
32'
38'
🟨 Fabinho
49'
⚽ M. Kabasakal (E. Muci)
51'
⚽ A. Simsir (E. Muci)
55'
🟨 M. Kabasakal
57'
⚽ Franculino
G. Borrelli 🟨
60'
Q. Laci (A. Mebude) ⚽
68'
83'
⚽ Franculino (E. Muci)
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
9
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Rizespor (4-1-4-1)
Yahia Fofana
Mithat Pala
Siaka Bakayoko
Modibo Sagnan
Zakaria Ariss
Taylan Antalyalı
Adedire Mebude
Ibrahim Olawoyin
Qazim Laci
Emrecan Bulut
Gennaro Borrelli
Trabzonspor (4-1-4-1)
André Onana
Wagner Pina
Chibuike Nwaiwu
Stefan Savić
Mustafa Eskihellaç
Fabinho
Mohamed Salah
Melih Kabasakal
Ernest Muçi
Aral Şimşir
Franculino Djú
Player Ratings ?
Rizespor
Qazim LaciM7.9
Mithat PalaD7.5
Adedire MebudeM7.5
Trabzonspor
Ernest MuçiM8.9
Franculino DjúF8.5
Aral ŞimşirM8.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Trabzonspor a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Trabzonspor have secured two victories in their last five away outings, whereas Rizespor remain winless at home across four defeats and a solitary draw in their recent five matches. Rizespor have found the net in just one of their last five home fixtures while failing to keep a clean sheet in that same span. One Rizespor player is unavailable, while Trabzonspor face the absence of five individuals alongside two others listed as doubtful for selection. Trabzonspor rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Trabzonspor won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 14 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Rizespor's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Rizespor's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points, while Trabzonspor's implied win probability has risen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Trabzonspor a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
50%
Rizespor yellow cards after 75'
1
Rizespor points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Trabzonspor win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rizespor win
Latest market chance 26.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
28.0% → 26.4%
−1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.1% → 24.4%
−0.7 pts
Trabzonspor win
Latest market chance 49.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
46.9% → 49.2%
+2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rizespor
Draw
Trabzonspor
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RizesporTrabzonspor
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
4th
8
Games Played
8
1.25
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.25
1.38
Conceded/Game
0.62
16.1
Shots/Game
14.9
5.0
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away Context
Rizespor at home (7 matches) vs Trabzonspor away (9 matches)
0.43
Points/Game
1.78
1.14
Goals/Game
2.00
2.57
Conceded/Game
1.22
14%
Win Rate
56%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rizespor
Home form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Trabzonspor
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rizespor Wins
1
Draws
0
Trabzonspor Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.4
Rizespor3 – 4Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor1 – 0Rizespor
Rizespor1 – 2Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor2 – 0Rizespor
Rizespor3 – 1Trabzonspor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rizesporvs
Trabzonspor
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
2.70
1.80
Goals conceded / game
0.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
1/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 60.3%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.6%→Latest 62.3%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?