Rizespor vs Fenerbahce Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.63
Draw
4.20
Away Win
1.70
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 3
Match Events ?
Rizespor
Fenerbahce
12'
⚽ M. Asensio (K. Akturkoglu)
83'
⚽ I. Kahveci (O. Aydin)
87'
⚽ O. Aydin (R. Lukaku)
Match Statistics ?
50%
Ball Possession
50%
19
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
5
4
Fouls
6
0
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Rizespor (4-1-4-1)
Y. Fofana
M. Pala
A. Mocsi
M. Sagnan
Z. Ariss
T. Antalyali
A. Mebude
I. Olawoyin
Q. Laci
A. Kutucu
A. Sowe
Fenerbahce (4-2-3-1)
Ederson
N. Semedo
M. Skriniar
N. Ake
A. Brown
N. Kante
M. Guendouzi
M. Greenwood
M. Asensio
K. Akturkoglu
V. Muriqi
Player Ratings ?
Rizespor
Taylan AntalyalıM7.7
Modibo SagnanD7.5
Adedire MebudeM6.9
Fenerbahce
İrfan Can KahveciM8.2
Oğuz AydınF8.2
EdersonG7.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Fenerbahce a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fenerbahce have secured two wins from their last five away fixtures across seasons, while Rizespor sit on a mixed record of two victories and two defeats in their home outings over the same span. Rizespor have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that identical sample period. The hosts face one confirmed absence ahead of the clash, whereas Fenerbahce will be without two players from their squad for this encounter. Fenerbahce rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 17 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 5.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Rizespor's implied win probability has fallen by 0.4 percentage points, while Fenerbahce's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Fenerbahce a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Fenerbahce win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rizespor win
Latest market chance 20.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.2% → 20.8%
−0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 23.7%
−0.4 pts
Fenerbahce win
Latest market chance 55.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
54.7% → 55.5%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rizespor
Draw
Fenerbahce
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RizesporFenerbahce
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
6th
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
1.67
1.17
Goals/Game
2.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
16.1
Shots/Game
16.3
5.0
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Rizespor at home (7 matches) vs Fenerbahce away (9 matches)
0.43
Points/Game
1.56
1.14
Goals/Game
1.78
2.57
Conceded/Game
0.67
14%
Win Rate
44%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rizespor
Home form
W
W
D
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fenerbahce
Away form
W
L
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rizespor Wins
0
Draws
1
Fenerbahce Wins
4
Avg Goals
5.0
Fenerbahce2 – 2Rizespor
Rizespor2 – 5Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce3 – 2Rizespor
Rizespor0 – 5Fenerbahce
Rizespor1 – 3Fenerbahce
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rizesporvs
Fenerbahce
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.9%→Latest 56.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.7%→Latest 56.4%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Rizespor's 10 matches and 3 of Fenerbahce's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?