Rizespor vs Erzurumspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.96
Draw
3.74
Away Win
3.93
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Rizespor
Erzurumspor
A. Sowe (I. Olawoyin) ⚽
31'
37'
⚽ I. Diabate (G. Kerk)
45'
🟨 G. Kerk
45+1'
🟨 M. Cardoso
A. Sowe (A. Mebude) ⚽
66'
90+2'
🟨 M. Yumlu
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
24
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
2
8
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Rizespor (4-1-4-1)
Zafer Görgen
Mithat Pala
Attila Mocsi
Siaka Bakayoko
Zakaria Ariss
Moussa Diakité
Adedire Mebude
Ibrahim Olawoyin
Qazim Laci
Ahmed Kutucu
Ali Sowe
Erzurumspor (5-4-1)
Ertuğrul Taşkıran
Festy Ebosele
Orhan Ovacıklı
Amar Gerxhaliu
Nihad Mujakić
Guram Giorbelidze
Gyrano Kerk
Brandon Baiye
Elisha Owusu
Miguel Cardoso
Ibrahim Diabaté
Player Ratings ?
Rizespor
Ali SoweF7.7
Ibrahim OlawoyinM7.3
Qazim LaciM7.3
Erzurumspor
Orhan OvacıklıD8.0
Ibrahim DiabatéF7.9
Brandon BaiyeM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rizespor edge attack and head-to-head, Erzurumspor edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Erzurumspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rizespor stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Erzurumspor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rizespor stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Erzurumspor have shown resilience on the road with two wins and two draws from their last five away fixtures, while Rizespor struggle significantly at home having lost all five of their recent outings. At home, Rizespor have managed to score in just two of their last five matches and have failed to keep a single clean sheet during that same period. Erzurumspor rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Rizespor rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2001. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Rizespor losing run
45%
Rizespor yellow cards after 75'
0
Rizespor points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rizespor win
Latest market chance 48.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
48.2% → 48.4%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 26.2%
+0.1 pts
Erzurumspor win
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.6% → 25.4%
−0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 2Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 8
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rizespor
Draw
Erzurumspor
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Rizespor
Erzurumspor
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
11th
10
Games Played
10
1.10
Points/Game
1.40
1.10
Goals/Game
0.90
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
16.1
Shots/Game
9.8
5.0
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Rizespor at home (7 matches) vs Erzurumspor away (9 matches)
0.43
Points/Game
1.00
1.14
Goals/Game
0.89
2.57
Conceded/Game
1.56
14%
Win Rate
22%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rizespor
Home form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Erzurumspor
Away form
L
D
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rizespor Wins
1
Draws
1
Erzurumspor Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.5
2001-04-282000-2001
Erzurumspor0 – 0Rizespor
2000-11-182000-2001
Rizespor4 – 1Erzurumspor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rizespor
vs
Erzurumspor
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
51.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
31.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
55.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 52.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.6%→Latest 55.3%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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