Kocaelispor vs Goztep Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.02
Draw
3.19
Away Win
2.58
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Kocaelispor
Goztep
24'
⚽ (OG) Show
M. Susoho 🟨
56'
76'
🟨 Andre Henrique
77'
⚽ N. Miroshi (Juan)
78'
🟨 N. Miroshi
B. Kutlu ⚽ (P)
82'
E. Ortakaya 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
13
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
1
13
Fouls
25
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Kocaelispor (4-3-3)
Serhat Öztaşdelen
Uğur Kaan Yıldız
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel
Emir Ortakaya
Muharrem Cinan
Mahamadou Susoho
Show
Berkan Kutlu
Gonçalo Sousa
Dan Agyei
Metehan Altunbaş
Goztep (3-4-1-2)
Arda Özçimen
Taha Altıkardeş
Noah Sonko Sundberg
Malcom Bokele
Arda Kurtulan
Rhaldney
Novatus Miroshi
Richard Akonnor
Alexis Antunes
André Henrique
Juan Santos da Silva
Player Ratings ?
Kocaelispor
Berkan KutluM7.7
ShowM7.3
Emir OrtakayaD7.2
Goztep
Arda ÖzçimenG7.3
Taha AltıkardeşD7.2
Novatus MiroshiM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Kocaelispor edge recent form and defence, Goztep edge attack, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kocaelispor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Goztep stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Kocaelispor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Kocaelispor have secured four wins from their last five home outings, while Goztep have recorded two victories in five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept four clean sheets during that same period. Kocaelispor carry four out-counts and two doubtful players, whereas Goztep face two confirmed absences alongside one player in doubt. Kocaelispor rate stronger on form and defence, while Goztep rate stronger on attack, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Kocaelispor's implied win probability has fallen by 3.3 percentage points, while Goztep's implied win probability has risen by 4.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Goztep losing run
12
Kocaelispor points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Goztep
Goztep's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Goztep win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kocaelispor win
Latest market chance 33.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
36.4% → 33.1%
−3.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.8% → 28.0%
−0.8 pts
Goztep win
Latest market chance 38.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
34.8% → 38.9%
+4.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+5.5+2.750−2.75Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kocaelispor
Draw
Goztep
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Kocaelispor
Goztep
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
15th
7
Games Played
7
1.71
Points/Game
0.86
1.14
Goals/Game
2.14
0.86
Conceded/Game
2.14
12.8
Shots/Game
15.8
4.5
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Kocaelispor at home (7 matches) vs Goztep away (9 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.14
Goals/Game
2.56
0.29
Conceded/Game
1.44
57%
Win Rate
56%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kocaelispor
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Goztep
Away form
L
D
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2.8
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kocaelispor Wins
1
Draws
2
Goztep Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-04-182025-2026
Kocaelispor1 – 1Goztep
2025-11-232025-2026
Goztep0 – 0Kocaelispor
2003-03-232002-2003
Goztep1 – 2Kocaelispor
2002-10-062002-2003
Kocaelispor1 – 3Goztep
2002-02-172001-2002
Goztep3 – 0Kocaelispor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kocaelispor
vs
Goztep
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.10
0.80
Goals conceded / game
2.00
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
71.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
47.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
26.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
53.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.1%→Latest 47.3%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.4%→Latest 53.6%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Kocaelispor's 10 matches and 1 of Goztep's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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