Kasimpasa vs Besiktas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.72
Draw
4.37
Away Win
1.58
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Kasimpasa
Besiktas
E. Belozoglu 🟨
6'
28'
⚽ L. Trossard (R. Yilmaz)
47'
⚽ D. Vlahovic (M. Murillo)
C. Winck (H. Hajradinovic) ⚽
60'
A. Arous 🟨
79'
M. Rafferty (K. Demirbay) ⚽
87'
90+5'
🟨 T. Djalo
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
16
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
2
20
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Kasimpasa (4-1-4-1)
Andreas Gianniotis
Cláudio Winck
Adem Arous
Matei Ilie
Ayberk Karapo
Kerem Demirbay
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
Haris Hajradinović
Elson Mendes
Ali Yavuz Kol
Adrian Benedyczak
Besiktas (4-1-4-1)
Alexander Nübel
Amir Murillo
Emmanuel Agbadou
Emirhan Topçu
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Salih Özcan
Václav Černý
Junior Olaitan
Wilfred Ndidi
Leandro Trossard
Dušan Vlahović
Player Ratings ?
Kasimpasa
Marcus RaffertyM7.7
Kerem DemirbayM7.3
Haris HajradinovićM7.3
Besiktas
Leandro TrossardM8.6
Dušan VlahovićF7.9
Amir MurilloD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Kasimpasa edge defence, Besiktas edge attack and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Besiktas stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Kasimpasa stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Besiktas stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Kasimpasa have secured four draws in their last five home outings, while Besiktas have suffered four defeats in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have scored in three of their last five matches at home and kept two clean sheets during that same period. Kasimpasa carry two confirmed absences and one doubtful player, whereas Besiktas have three players out with no doubts attached to their squad. Besiktas rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while Kasimpasa rate stronger on defence, while form is closely matched. Besiktas won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 19 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Kasimpasa's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Kasimpasa's implied win probability has fallen by 3.9 percentage points, while Besiktas's implied win probability has risen by 5.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Kasimpasa yellow cards after 75'
3
Besiktas points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Besiktas
Besiktas's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Besiktas win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kasimpasa win
Latest market chance 18.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
22.7% → 18.8%
−3.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.5% → 22.7%
−1.8 pts
Besiktas win
Latest market chance 58.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
52.8% → 58.5%
+5.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kasimpasa
Draw
Besiktas
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KasimpasaBesiktas
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
4th
9
Games Played
9
1.78
Points/Game
2.00
1.44
Goals/Game
2.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.11
12.6
Shots/Game
17.0
4.3
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away Context
Kasimpasa at home (6 matches) vs Besiktas away (6 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
0.67
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.83
17%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kasimpasa
Home form
D
D
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Besiktas
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kasimpasa Wins
2
Draws
2
Besiktas Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Besiktas2 – 1Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa1 – 1Besiktas
Kasimpasa1 – 1Besiktas
Besiktas1 – 3Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa2 – 1Besiktas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kasimpasavs
Besiktas
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.6%→Latest 56.3%+1.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 54.4%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?