Genclerbirligi vs Amedspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Eryaman Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.42
Draw
3.47
Away Win
2.21
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Genclerbirligi
Amedspor
Thalisson 🟨
15'
İrfan Can Eğribayat 🟨
23'
25'
⚽ (P) D. Saba
53'
🟨 Umut Meraş
R. Luis ⚽
54'
Metehan Baltacı 🟨
57'
57'
🟨 Lumbardh Dellova
57'
🟨 Dia Saba
Fıratcan Üzüm 🟨
65'
67'
⚽ S. Ballet (R. Raveloson)
73'
🟨 Alban Lafont
Thalisson Kelven (T. Gouveia) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Goal
5
6
Corner Kicks
3
14
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
4
3
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Genclerbirligi (3-4-2-1)
I. Egribayat
M. Baltaci
D. Goutas
Thalisson Kelven
F. Uzum
R. Luis
O. Diabate
A. Dursun
T. Gouveia
F. Tongya
P. Mendes
Amedspor (4-2-3-1)
A. Lafont
E. Krasniqi
L. Dellova
D. Bates
U. Meras
R. Raveloson
F. Soyalp
S. Ballet
D. Saba
M. Khalil
G. Orban
Player Ratings ?
Genclerbirligi
Rafael LuisM7.6
ThalissonD7.3
Ousmane DiabateM7.2
Amedspor
Samuel BalletM8.2
Dia SabaM7.6
Ermal KrasniqiD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Amedspor edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Amedspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Amedspor stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Amedspor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Genclerbirligi have secured three wins and a draw from their last five home fixtures, while Amedspor remain winless in their last two away matches with just one draw to show for it. At home, Genclerbirligi have scored in five of their last five outings but have only kept a clean sheet once during that same run. Genclerbirligi face one confirmed absence and one doubtful player, whereas Amedspor are dealing with two confirmed absences alongside two players listed as doubtful. Amedspor rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence. Over the 6-day comparison window, Genclerbirligi's implied win probability has fallen by 6.0 percentage points, while Amedspor's implied win probability has risen by 5.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
65%
Amedspor yellow cards after 75'
1
Amedspor points from last 2 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Genclerbirligi
Genclerbirligi's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Genclerbirligi win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Amedspor remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Genclerbirligi win
Latest market chance 29.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
35.1% → 29.1%
−6.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 27.3%
+0.4 pts
Amedspor win
Latest market chance 43.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
38.1% → 43.5%
+5.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Genclerbirligi
Draw
Amedspor
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GenclerbirligiAmedspor
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
2nd
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
2.17
0.83
Goals/Game
2.50
2.17
Conceded/Game
1.17
11.3
Shots/Game
16.0
3.7
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Genclerbirligi at home (9 matches) vs Amedspor away (8 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.12
2.00
Goals/Game
2.00
1.11
Conceded/Game
2.25
33%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Genclerbirligi
Home form
W
W
W
D
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Amedspor
Away form
L
D
Winless in last 2 away
Limited history — only 2 away fixtures on record for Amedspor.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/2
Scored in
last 2
last 2
0/2
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Genclerbirligi and Amedspor.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Genclerbirligivs
Amedspor
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
2.50
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.17
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/6
4/10
Both Teams Scored
3/6
4/10
Failed to Score
1/6
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 53.5%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 57.6%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Amedspor have only 6 completed fixtures on record.
3 of Genclerbirligi's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?