Gaziantep vs Kasimpasa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Gaziantep Stadyumu
Fri 06 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.62
Draw
3.44
Away Win
2.75
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Gaziantep
Kasimpasa
3'
⚽ H. Hajradinovic (J. Rak-Sakyi)
21'
⚽ (P) A. Benedyczak
D. Sorescu 🟨
30'
36'
🟨 E. Mendes
82'
🟨 A. Karapo
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
16
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Gaziantep (4-1-4-1)
Ataberk Dadakdeniz
Luis Pérez
Myenty Abena
Abakar Sylla
Kerim Çalhanoğlu
Juninho Bacuna
Deian Sorescu
Drissa Camara
Alexandru Maxim
Kacper Kozłowski
Trivante Stewart
Kasimpasa (4-2-3-1)
Andreas Gianniotis
Cláudio Winck
Adem Arous
Matei Ilie
Ayberk Karapo
Elson Mendes
Kerem Demirbay
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
Haris Hajradinović
Ali Yavuz Kol
Adrian Benedyczak
Player Ratings ?
Gaziantep
Abakar SyllaD7.3
Juninho BacunaM7.3
Ataberk DadakdenizG7.2
Kasimpasa
Haris HajradinovićM8.7
Cláudio WinckD7.6
Adem ArousD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Gaziantep edge head-to-head, Kasimpasa edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kasimpasa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Kasimpasa stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Kasimpasa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gaziantep stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Kasimpasa have secured three victories in their last five away fixtures, while Gaziantep have failed to win at home during the same period with two draws and three defeats. Gaziantep have found the net in just two of their last five home matches and have kept two clean sheets in that same sample. Both squads carry injury concerns, with Gaziantep listing two confirmed out and six doubtful players alongside Kasimpasa's two confirmed absences and four doubts. Kasimpasa rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Gaziantep rate stronger on head-to-head. Gaziantep won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 9 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Kasimpasa's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Gaziantep's implied win probability has risen by 3.5 percentage points, while Kasimpasa's implied win probability has fallen by 4.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
59%
Gaziantep yellow cards after 75'
2
Gaziantep points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Kasimpasa win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Gaziantep remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gaziantep win
Latest market chance 37.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
33.7% → 37.2%
+3.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.4% → 28.0%
+0.6 pts
Kasimpasa win
Latest market chance 34.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
39.0% → 34.8%
−4.2 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GaziantepKasimpasa
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
5th
10
Games Played
10
0.80
Points/Game
1.70
0.90
Goals/Game
1.50
1.70
Conceded/Game
1.10
13.9
Shots/Game
12.6
3.9
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Gaziantep at home (8 matches) vs Kasimpasa away (8 matches)
0.38
Points/Game
2.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.25
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
62%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gaziantep
Home form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kasimpasa
Away form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Gaziantep Wins
3
Draws
2
Kasimpasa Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.6
Gaziantep2 – 1Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa2 – 3Gaziantep
Gaziantep2 – 2Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa2 – 2Gaziantep
Gaziantep2 – 0Kasimpasa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gaziantepvs
Kasimpasa
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
6/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.9%→Latest 50.3%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 55.7%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?