Gaziantep vs Erzurumspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Gaziantep Stadyumu
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.46
Draw
3.29
Away Win
3.04
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Gaziantep
Erzurumspor
Myenty Abena 🟨
41'
53'
⚽ M. Cardoso (E. Tozlu)
64'
⚽ A. Gerxhaliu (O. Ovacikli)
K. Calhanoglu (S. Dursun) ⚽
71'
Kacper Kozłowski 🟨
86'
90'
⚽ G. Giorbelidze (M. Fettahoglu)
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
21
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
7
2
Yellow Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Gaziantep (4-1-4-1)
K. Tobiasz
L. Perez
M. Abena
A. Sylla
K. Calhanoglu
J. Bacuna
D. Sorescu
D. Camara
A. Maxim
K. Kozlowski
T. Stewart
Erzurumspor (5-3-2)
E. Taskiran
O. Ovacikli
A. Gerxhaliu
M. Yumlu
N. Mujakic
G. Giorbelidze
B. Baiye
E. Owusu
M. Rodriguez
E. Tozlu
M. Cardoso
Player Ratings ?
Gaziantep
Abakar SyllaD7.2
Myenty AbenaD7.0
Alexandru MaximM7.0
Erzurumspor
Amar GerxhaliuD7.9
Miguel CardosoF7.9
Mustafa FettahogluF7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Gaziantep edge attack, Erzurumspor edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Erzurumspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Gaziantep stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Gaziantep have recorded three draws and two losses in their last five home outings, while Erzurumspor sit with an identical tally of three draws and two defeats across their most recent five away fixtures. Gaziantep have scored in just two of their last five home matches and have managed only two clean sheets during that same period. Gaziantep face two confirmed absences ahead of the match. Erzurumspor rate stronger on form, while Gaziantep rate stronger on attack, while defence is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
63%
Gaziantep yellow cards after 75'
3
Gaziantep points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Erzurumspor
Erzurumspor's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Erzurumspor win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. Gaziantep remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Gaziantep win
Latest market chance 38.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
42.1% → 38.0%
−4.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
32.0% → 30.2%
−1.8 pts
Erzurumspor win
Latest market chance 31.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
25.9% → 31.8%
+5.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Gaziantep
Draw
Erzurumspor
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GaziantepErzurumspor
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
11th
8
Games Played
8
1.00
Points/Game
1.38
1.00
Goals/Game
0.62
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.38
13.9
Shots/Game
9.8
3.9
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Gaziantep at home (8 matches) vs Erzurumspor away (9 matches)
0.38
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
0.89
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.56
0%
Win Rate
22%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Gaziantep
Home form
D
L
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Erzurumspor
Away form
D
L
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Gaziantep and Erzurumspor.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Gaziantepvs
Erzurumspor
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
1/10
5/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.3%→Latest 45.8%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.4%→Latest 52.0%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?