Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Rams Park
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.05
Draw
4.02
Away Win
3.29
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Galatasaray
Fenerbahce
10'
🟨 I. Kahveci
11'
🟨 M. Skriniar
D. Sanchez 🟨
19'
V. Osimhen (B. Yilmaz) ⚽
29'
31'
🟨 N. Kante
V. Osimhen (D. Sanchez) ⚽
44'
O. Buruk 🟨
45+1'
54'
🟨 N. Semedo
62'
⚽ I. Kahveci (O. Aydin)
R. Leao 🟨
89'
90+1'
🟨 A. Brown
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
23
Total Shots
4
8
Shots on Goal
3
10
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
5
4
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Galatasaray (4-2-3-1)
Uğurcan Çakır
Roland Sallai
Davinson Sánchez
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
Ismail Jakobs
Lucas Torreira
Mario Lemina
Yunus Akgün
Aleksey Batrakov
Barış Alper Yılmaz
Victor Osimhen
Fenerbahce (4-2-3-1)
Ederson
Nélson Semedo
Milan Škriniar
Archie Brown
Levent Mercan
Mattéo Guendouzi
N'Golo Kanté
Mason Greenwood
İrfan Can Kahveci
Oğuz Aydın
Romelu Lukaku
Player Ratings ?
Galatasaray
Victor OsimhenF8.2
Mario LeminaM7.9
Barış Alper YılmazM7.7
Fenerbahce
EdersonG7.5
İrfan Can KahveciM7.3
Kojo Peprah OppongD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Galatasaray edge recent form and head-to-head, Fenerbahce edge defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Galatasaray slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Galatasaray stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fenerbahce have secured three wins and two draws from their last five away outings, while Galatasaray remain unbeaten at home with four victories in that same span. Galatasaray have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that period. Galatasaray face a single doubtful concern, whereas Fenerbahce carry two players out and another two listed as doubtful for the fixture. Galatasaray rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Fenerbahce rate stronger on defence, while attack is closely matched. Galatasaray won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 26 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Fenerbahce's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Galatasaray's implied win probability has risen by 5.5 percentage points, while Fenerbahce's implied win probability has fallen by 4.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Galatasaray unbeaten run
45%
Fenerbahce yellow cards after 75'
13
Galatasaray points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Galatasaray
Galatasaray's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Galatasaray win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Galatasaray win
Latest market chance 46.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
40.9% → 46.4%
+5.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.7% → 24.6%
−1.1 pts
Fenerbahce win
Latest market chance 29.0%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
33.4% → 29.0%
−4.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Galatasaray
Draw
Fenerbahce
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GalatasarayFenerbahce
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
3rd
8
Games Played
8
2.38
Points/Game
2.00
2.12
Goals/Game
2.75
1.38
Conceded/Game
0.75
21.4
Shots/Game
16.3
7.5
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Galatasaray at home (9 matches) vs Fenerbahce away (9 matches)
2.78
Points/Game
1.56
2.67
Goals/Game
1.78
1.56
Conceded/Game
0.67
89%
Win Rate
44%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Galatasaray
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Fenerbahce
Away form
D
D
W
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Galatasaray Wins
3
Draws
2
Fenerbahce Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.4
Galatasaray2 – 1Fenerbahce
Galatasaray3 – 0Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce1 – 1Galatasaray
Galatasaray0 – 0Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce1 – 3Galatasaray
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Galatasarayvs
Fenerbahce
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.40
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 60.3%→Latest 63.7%+3.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.6%→Latest 65.2%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?