Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.30
Draw
5.83
Away Win
9.54
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Fenerbahce
Alanyaspor
Mason Greenwood •
17'
Romelu Lukaku (Levent Mercan) ⚽
40'
Kerem Aktürkoğlu ⚽
71'
Oğuz Aydın 🟨
73'
Vedat Muriqi (Kerem Aktürkoğlu) ⚽
87'
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
24
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
18
Fouls
3
1
Yellow Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Fenerbahce (4-2-3-1)
Ederson
Nélson Semedo
Milan Škriniar
Nathan Aké
Levent Mercan
N'Golo Kanté
Mattéo Guendouzi
İrfan Can Kahveci
Mason Greenwood
Oğuz Aydın
Romelu Lukaku
Alanyaspor (3-4-3)
Paulo Victor
Nuno Lima
Fidan Aliti
Fatih Aksoy
Florent Hadergjonaj
Gaius Makouta
Baran Ali Gezek
Ruan Pereira Duarte
Hwang Ui-Jo
Arda Usluoğlu
Ibrahim Kaya
Player Ratings ?
Fenerbahce
EdersonG8.7
Nélson SemedoD8.5
Levent MercanD8.2
Alanyaspor
Baran Ali GezekM7.7
Florent HadergjonajM7.3
Paulo VictorG7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Fenerbahce a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fenerbahce have enjoyed an encouraging home record in their last five outings with three wins and a draw, while Alanyaspor are also in good away form having secured three victories from five matches on the road. The hosts have found the net in every home game during their last five matches but have only kept a single clean sheet in that same period. Two players are unavailable for Fenerbahce ahead of kickoff, whereas Alanyaspor face one doubt regarding their squad availability. Fenerbahce rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Fenerbahce won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 18 January 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Alanyaspor's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Fenerbahce's implied win probability has risen by 2.3 percentage points, while Alanyaspor's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Fenerbahce a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Fenerbahce win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fenerbahce win
Latest market chance 72.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
70.5% → 72.8%
+2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
18.4% → 17.2%
−1.2 pts
Alanyaspor win
Latest market chance 10.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
11.1% → 10.0%
−1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fenerbahce
Draw
Alanyaspor
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FenerbahceAlanyaspor
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
7th
7
Games Played
7
1.86
Points/Game
1.71
2.71
Goals/Game
1.14
0.86
Conceded/Game
0.86
16.3
Shots/Game
11.5
6.6
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Fenerbahce at home (7 matches) vs Alanyaspor away (9 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.11
3.00
Goals/Game
0.78
1.14
Conceded/Game
2.33
57%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fenerbahce
Home form
W
D
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
3.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Alanyaspor
Away form
D
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fenerbahce Wins
3
Draws
2
Alanyaspor Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.6
Alanyaspor2 – 3Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce2 – 2Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor0 – 2Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce3 – 0Alanyaspor
Fenerbahce2 – 2Alanyaspor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fenerbahcevs
Alanyaspor
Recent Scoring Profile
2.50
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded / game
0.90
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 59.9%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 48.6%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Fenerbahce's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?