Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.58
Draw
3.93
Away Win
1.64
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Eyupspor
Kasimpasa
29'
🟨 Kerem Demirbay
37'
⚽ A. Benedyczak (H. Hajradinovic)
87'
🟨 Ali Yavuz Kol
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
21
0
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Eyupspor (4-1-4-1)
E. Bilgin
T. Ulvan
J. El Yamiq
Z. Jules
S. Giordano
Massanga Matondo
K. Michalak
D. Costa
I. Taskin
L. Pintor
Y. Barasi
Kasimpasa (4-2-3-1)
A. Gianniotis
C. Winck
A. Arous
M. Ilie
A. Karapo
E. Mendes
K. Demirbay
J. Rak-Sakyi
H. Hajradinovic
A. Kol
A. Benedyczak
Player Ratings ?
Eyupspor
Zak JulesD7.3
Chandrel MassangaM7.3
Taşkın IlterM7.3
Kasimpasa
Andreas GianniotisG8.0
Adrian BenedyczakF7.9
Matei IlieD7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Kasimpasa a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kasimpasa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Kasimpasa stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Kasimpasa stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Kasimpasa stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Kasimpasa have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, whereas Eyupspor have managed just a solitary victory in their last five home matches. Eyupspor have scored in one of their last five home fixtures but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same sample. The hosts face no confirmed absences among their squad, though one player remains doubtful, while Kasimpasa carry two certain out-counts alongside a single doubt. Kasimpasa rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Kasimpasa won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 15 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 4 encounters to Eyupspor's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Eyupspor's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points, while Kasimpasa's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Kasimpasa a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Kasimpasa yellow cards after 75'
3
Eyupspor points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Kasimpasa win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Eyupspor win
Latest market chance 17.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
15.9% → 17.2%
+1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
23.5% → 24.4%
+0.9 pts
Kasimpasa win
Latest market chance 58.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
60.7% → 58.4%
−2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Eyupspor
Draw
Kasimpasa
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
EyupsporKasimpasa
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
8th
8
Games Played
8
0.38
Points/Game
1.63
0.25
Goals/Game
1.50
2.75
Conceded/Game
1.12
11.0
Shots/Game
12.6
3.5
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Eyupspor at home (9 matches) vs Kasimpasa away (8 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
2.00
0.22
Goals/Game
1.25
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
11%
Win Rate
62%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Eyupspor
Home form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kasimpasa
Away form
W
D
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Eyupspor Wins
1
Draws
0
Kasimpasa Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
Kasimpasa1 – 0Eyupspor
Eyupspor2 – 0Kasimpasa
Eyupspor0 – 3Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa2 – 0Eyupspor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Eyupsporvs
Kasimpasa
Recent Scoring Profile
0.20
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.90
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
1/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
9/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.7%→Latest 47.5%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.2%→Latest 47.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?