Buyuksehyr vs Samsunspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.80
Draw
4.09
Away Win
4.28
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 2
Match Events ?
Buyuksehyr
Samsunspor
4'
🟨 A. Sekongo
E. Shomurodov (I. Brnic) ⚽
10'
22'
⚽ T. Coulibaly (M. Bayo)
A. Skov Olsen (S. Kharebashvili) ⚽
25'
E. Bayram (J. Kaluzinski) ⚽
41'
O. Ba (J. Kaluzinski) ⚽
75'
84'
⚽ E. Tavsan (J. Assoumou)
85'
🟨 S. Erakovic
A. Fayzullaev ⚽
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
24
Total Shots
9
10
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
2
12
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Buyuksehyr (4-2-3-1)
Muhammed Şengezer
Michał Karbownik
Emin Bayram
Ousseynou Ba
Saba Kharebashvili
Olivier Kemen
Jakub Kałuziński
Andreas Skov Olsen
Eldor Shomurodov
Ivan Brnić
Davie Selke
Samsunspor (3-5-2)
Bilal Bayazit
Strahinja Eraković
Gabriele Guarino
Igor Drapiński
Josafat Mendes
Celil Yüksel
Elliot Watt
Antoine Sekongo
Logi Tomasson
Tanguy Coulibaly
Mohamed Bayo
Player Ratings ?
Buyuksehyr
Saba KharebashviliD8.3
Jakub KałuzińskiM8.2
Emin BayramD7.7
Samsunspor
Elayis TavsanF7.7
Tanguy CoulibalyF7.3
Oskar ØhlenschlaegerF7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Buyuksehyr
Buyuksehyr rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Buyuksehyr an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Buyuksehyr stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Buyuksehyr stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Buyuksehyr stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Buyuksehyr stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Buyuksehyr arrive with three wins from their last five home outings, while Samsunspor have managed just a solitary victory in their last five away fixtures. Buyuksehyr have scored in all five home matches recently but have kept just two clean sheets in that same sample. Buyuksehyr face no absences though two players are doubtful, whereas Samsunspor have three confirmed out and two doubtful ahead of kickoff. Buyuksehyr rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Buyuksehyr won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 9 May 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Samsunspor's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Buyuksehyr.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Buyuksehyr win
Latest market chance 52.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
51.6% → 52.3%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 23.9%
−0.3 pts
Samsunspor win
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 23.9%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Buyuksehyr
Draw
Samsunspor
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BuyuksehyrSamsunspor
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
17th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
0.44
1.33
Goals/Game
0.89
1.56
Conceded/Game
2.33
13.4
Shots/Game
12.6
4.6
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Buyuksehyr at home (7 matches) vs Samsunspor away (5 matches)
2.29
Points/Game
0.60
2.86
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.20
71%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Buyuksehyr
Home form
D
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Samsunspor
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Buyuksehyr Wins
4
Draws
0
Samsunspor Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Buyuksehyr3 – 0Samsunspor
Samsunspor0 – 2Buyuksehyr
Buyuksehyr4 – 0Samsunspor
Samsunspor2 – 0Buyuksehyr
Buyuksehyr1 – 0Samsunspor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Buyuksehyrvs
Samsunspor
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.2%→Latest 58.8%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 59.3%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?