Buyuksehyr vs Gaziantep Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.70
Draw
4.31
Away Win
4.61
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Buyuksehyr
Gaziantep
E. Shomurodov ⚽
9'
36'
🟨 O. Ak
S. Kharebashvili 🟨
45+3'
J. Kaluzinski 🟨
51'
58'
🟨 D. Camara
66'
⚽ S. Dursun (K. Kozlowski)
O. Ba 🟨
75'
U. Gunes 🟨
79'
80'
🟨 D. Sorescu
U. Gunes (E. Shomurodov) ⚽
81'
85'
🟨 K. Kozlowski
87'
🟨 S. Dursun
90+5'
🟥 O. Ak
Match Statistics ?
50%
Ball Possession
50%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
5
28
Fouls
15
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Buyuksehyr (4-2-3-1)
Muhammed Şengezer
Michał Karbownik
Emin Bayram
Ousseynou Ba
Saba Kharebashvili
Olivier Kemen
Jakub Kałuziński
Andreas Skov Olsen
Eldor Shomurodov
Ivan Brnić
Umut Bozok
Gaziantep (4-4-2)
Kacper Tobiasz
Luis Pérez
Arda Kızıldağ
Myenty Abena
Abakar Sylla
Deian Sorescu
Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo
Ogün Özçiçek
Drissa Camara
Trivante Stewart
Kacper Kozłowski
Player Ratings ?
Buyuksehyr
Andreas Skov OlsenM7.9
Umut GüneşM7.7
Muhammed ŞengezerG7.5
Gaziantep
Kacper KozłowskiF7.6
Kacper TobiaszG7.5
Deian SorescuM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Buyuksehyr
Buyuksehyr rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Buyuksehyr a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Buyuksehyr stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Buyuksehyr stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Buyuksehyr slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Buyuksehyr stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Buyuksehyr have secured three victories and a draw from their last five home outings, whereas Gaziantep sit on two wins and three defeats in their corresponding away sample. At this venue, Buyuksehyr have scored in every one of their last five matches while also keeping three clean sheets within that same recent run. Buyuksehyr face one doubtful selection ahead of the game, while Gaziantep will need to manage two confirmed absences for their squad. Buyuksehyr rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Buyuksehyr won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 16 May 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Gaziantep's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Buyuksehyr's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points, while Gaziantep's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Buyuksehyr a slight edge.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Buyuksehyr
Buyuksehyr's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Buyuksehyr win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Buyuksehyr win
Latest market chance 58.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
56.0% → 58.4%
+2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.1% → 22.1%
−1.0 pts
Gaziantep win
Latest market chance 19.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
20.9% → 19.5%
−1.4 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+2.5+1.250−1.25Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Buyuksehyr
Draw
Gaziantep
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Buyuksehyr
Gaziantep
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
13th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.14
1.43
Goals/Game
1.00
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.43
13.4
Shots/Game
13.9
4.6
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Buyuksehyr at home (7 matches) vs Gaziantep away (6 matches)
2.29
Points/Game
1.00
2.86
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
71%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Buyuksehyr
Home form
W
D
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Gaziantep
Away form
L
W
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Buyuksehyr Wins
4
Draws
0
Gaziantep Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
2026-05-162025-2026
Gaziantep1 – 2Buyuksehyr
2025-12-222025-2026
Buyuksehyr5 – 1Gaziantep
2025-04-202024-2025
Buyuksehyr2 – 1Gaziantep
2024-11-232024-2025
Gaziantep3 – 0Buyuksehyr
2024-02-242023-2024
Gaziantep0 – 2Buyuksehyr
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Buyuksehyr
vs
Gaziantep
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
81.0%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
61.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
40.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 61.2%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.2%→Latest 59.4%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
2 of Buyuksehyr's 10 matches and 1 of Gaziantep's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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