Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Alanya Oba Stadium
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.02
Draw
3.27
Away Win
4.28
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
27'
⚽ B. Kutlu (R. Rivas)
42'
⚽ M. Baku (F. Aye)
45+1'
🟨 E. Ortakaya
Ruan (E. Keskin) ⚽
52'
F. Aksoy 🟨
53'
81'
🟨 B. Kutlu
F. Aliti 🟨
90'
I. Celik 🟨
90+2'
90+3'
🟨 Show
Match Statistics ?
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
7
16
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
4
1
Offsides
6
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Alanyaspor (3-4-2-1)
Paulo Victor
Nuno Lima
Fidan Aliti
Fatih Aksoy
Florent Hadergjonaj
Gaius Makouta
Baran Ali Gezek
Ruan Pereira Duarte
Ianis Hagi
Ibrahim Kaya
Arda Usluoğlu
Kocaelispor (5-4-1)
Serhat Öztaşdelen
Uğur Kaan Yıldız
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel
Emir Ortakaya
Show
Rigoberto Rivas
Gonçalo Sousa
Berkan Kutlu
Mahamadou Susoho
Makana Baku
Florian Ayé
Player Ratings ?
Alanyaspor
Ruan Pereira DuarteM8.3
Fidan AlitiD7.2
Paulo VictorG6.9
Kocaelispor
Berkan KutluM8.3
Makana BakuM7.5
Anfernee Jamal DijksteelD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Alanyaspor edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Alanyaspor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Kocaelispor have recorded just a solitary win from their last five away outings, whereas Alanyaspor remain unbeaten in their last five home matches with four draws. The hosts have scored in three of their last five home matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that identical period. Alanyaspor face two players listed as doubtful while Kocaelispor have four confirmed absences ahead of kickoff. Alanyaspor rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Alanyaspor won the most recent meeting 5-0 on 18 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Kocaelispor's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.5 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Alanyaspor's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points, while Kocaelispor's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Alanyaspor win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Alanyaspor win
Latest market chance 47.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
49.8% → 47.9%
−1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.9% → 28.7%
+0.8 pts
Kocaelispor win
Latest market chance 23.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
22.3% → 23.4%
+1.1 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AlanyasporKocaelispor
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
8th
8
Games Played
8
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.12
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.5
Shots/Game
12.8
3.4
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Alanyaspor at home (8 matches) vs Kocaelispor away (7 matches)
0.88
Points/Game
1.71
0.88
Goals/Game
1.29
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.14
12%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Alanyaspor
Home form
W
D
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kocaelispor
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Alanyaspor Wins
1
Draws
0
Kocaelispor Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.5
Alanyaspor5 – 0Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor2 – 0Alanyaspor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Alanyasporvs
Kocaelispor
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
0.90
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 42.0%→Latest 41.8%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.4%→Latest 47.0%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Kocaelispor's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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