Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Alanya Oba Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.92
Draw
3.46
Away Win
4.36
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Alanyaspor
Erzurumspor
29'
🟨 Eren Tozlu
44'
🟨 Orhan Ovacıklı
Meschak Elia 🟨
62'
62'
🟨 Amar Gerxhaliu
Florent Hadergjonaj 🟨
86'
Arda Usluoğlu 🟨
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
3
12
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Alanyaspor (3-4-3)
Paulo Victor
N. Lima
F. Aliti
F. Aksoy
F. Hadergjonaj
G. Makouta
B. Gezek
Ruan
I. Kaya
Bikoue
Hwang Ui-Jo
Erzurumspor (5-3-2)
E. Taskiran
O. Ovacikli
A. Gerxhaliu
M. Yumlu
N. Mujakic
G. Giorbelidze
B. Baiye
E. Owusu
M. Rodriguez
E. Tozlu
M. Cardoso
Player Ratings ?
Alanyaspor
Paulo VictorG8.5
Fidan AlitiD8.0
Nuno LimaD7.5
Erzurumspor
Orhan OvacıklıD8.5
Ertuğrul TaşkıranG8.2
Martín RodríguezM7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Alanyaspor a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Alanyaspor have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Erzurumspor remain winless in four of their previous five away fixtures. Alanyaspor have found the net in each of their last five home matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. There is a single player unavailable for Alanyaspor ahead of this fixture. Alanyaspor rate stronger on form, attack and defence. Over the 6-day comparison window, Alanyaspor's implied win probability has risen by 2.2 percentage points, while Erzurumspor's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Alanyaspor a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Erzurumspor yellow cards after 75'
1
Erzurumspor points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Alanyaspor win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Alanyaspor win
Latest market chance 49.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
47.0% → 49.2%
+2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.5% → 28.0%
−0.5 pts
Erzurumspor win
Latest market chance 22.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
24.5% → 22.8%
−1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Alanyaspor
Draw
Erzurumspor
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AlanyasporErzurumspor
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
14th
6
Games Played
6
1.83
Points/Game
1.17
1.33
Goals/Game
0.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.83
11.5
Shots/Game
9.8
3.4
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Alanyaspor at home (8 matches) vs Erzurumspor away (9 matches)
0.88
Points/Game
1.00
0.88
Goals/Game
0.89
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.56
12%
Win Rate
22%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Alanyaspor
Home form
L
W
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Erzurumspor
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Alanyasporvs
Erzurumspor
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded / game
2.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.8%→Latest 43.6%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.2%→Latest 47.5%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Alanyaspor's 10 matches and 3 of Erzurumspor's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?