PAOK vs Iraklis Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Toumba Stadium
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.28
Draw
5.84
Away Win
11.05
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
PAOK
Iraklis
Dimitrios Giannoulis 🟨
7'
21'
🟨 Carles Soria
Andrija Živković 🟨
41'
49'
⚽ Pedro Marques (Carles Soria)
Simon Banza (Andrija Živković) ⚽
62'
Tom Louchet 🟨
64'
68'
🟨 Vassilis Sourlis
71'
🟨 Yohan Roche
75'
🟨 Nemanja Radoja
90'
🟥 Yohan Roche
Giannis Michailidis (Andrija Živković) ⚽
90+2'
90+9'
🟨 Marco Krainz
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
18
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
3
15
Fouls
17
3
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
1
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
PAOK (4-2-3-1)
D. Monastirlis
J. Kenny
Diego Costa
G. Michailidis
D. Giannoulis
C. Zafeiris
K. Jakić
A. Živković
O. Ugresić
Taison
C. Ndiaye
Iraklis (3-4-2-1)
G. Athanasiadis
P. Vouros
Piña
Y. Roche
Carles Soria
V. Sourlis
N. Radoja
Nanu
Ivi López
R. Nizet
Pedro Marques
Player Ratings ?
PAOK
A. ŽivkovićM8.4
S. BanzaF8.2
G. MichailidisD7.3
Iraklis
Pedro MarquesF7.8
Carles SoriaM6.6
Xande SilvaF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. PAOK edge attack and head-to-head, Iraklis edge defence, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Iraklis slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PAOK slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Iraklis have managed just a solitary victory in their last five away outings, while PAOK have secured two wins from five at home during that same recent period. PAOK have found the net in each of their last five home matches but have kept just two clean sheets in that span. PAOK rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while Iraklis hold a slight advantage in defence, while form is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2017. Over the 8-day comparison window, PAOK's implied win probability has risen by 0.2 percentage points, while Iraklis's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 8 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. PAOK remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
PAOK win
Latest market chance 73.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
73.7% → 73.9%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
18.3% → 17.3%
−1.0 pts
Iraklis win
Latest market chance 8.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
8.0% → 8.8%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
PAOK
Draw
Iraklis
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PAOKIraklis
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
7th
6
Games Played
6
2.00
Points/Game
1.50
2.17
Goals/Game
1.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.4
Shots/Game
9.4
4.6
Shots on Target
2.3
Home vs Away Context
PAOK at home (8 matches) vs Iraklis away (8 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.88
2.00
Goals/Game
0.88
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.38
75%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
PAOK
Home form
W
W
L
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Iraklis
Away form
L
D
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
PAOK Wins
2
Draws
2
Iraklis Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
PAOK2 – 1Iraklis
Iraklis1 – 1PAOK
PAOK1 – 0Iraklis
PAOK0 – 1Iraklis
Iraklis3 – 3PAOK
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
PAOKvs
Iraklis
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.10
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 56.6%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 43.4%→Latest 43.0%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of PAOK's 10 matches and 2 of Iraklis's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?