PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Toumba Stadium
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.32
Draw
5.57
Away Win
9.65
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
PAOK
Asteras Tripolis
Cherif Ndiaye (Andrija Živković) ⚽
8'
Jonjoe Kenny 🟨
34'
Shola Shoretire 🟨
38'
39'
⚽ Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
42'
🟨 Dimitrios Kourbelis
Jonjoe Kenny 🟥
63'
67'
🟨 Franz Brorsson
73'
🟥 Franz Brorsson
Anestis Mythou ⚽
87'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
12
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
3
17
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
PAOK (4-4-2)
D. Monastirlis
J. Kenny
P. Hatzidiakos
Diego Costa
D. Giannoulis
A. Živković
C. Zafeiris
B. Santamaría
S. Shoretire
C. Ndiaye
S. Banza
Asteras Tripolis (4-4-1-1)
N. Papadopoulos
G. Kotsiras
F. Brorsson
J. Silva
Alex Méndez
F. Orozco
D. Kourbelis
Eder González
B. Mbunga Kimpioka
Ricardinho
F. Macheda
Player Ratings ?
PAOK
C. NdiayeF7.8
A. MythouF7.8
A. ŽivkovićM7.7
Asteras Tripolis
B. Mbunga KimpiokaM7.6
D. KourbelisM7.0
Eder GonzálezM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
PAOK
PAOK rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving PAOK a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Attack
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Defence
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
PAOK have secured three victories in their last five outings at home, whereas Asteras Tripolis remain winless across their last five away fixtures with two draws and three defeats. At home, PAOK have scored in five of their last five matches but have kept just one clean sheet in that same run. PAOK rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. PAOK won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 1 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Asteras Tripolis's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 8-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives PAOK a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Asteras Tripolis losing run
2
Asteras Tripolis points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 8 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
PAOK win
Latest market chance 71.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
71.8% → 71.9%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.2% → 18.3%
+0.1 pts
Asteras Tripolis win
Latest market chance 9.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
10.0% → 9.8%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
PAOK
Draw
Asteras Tripolis
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PAOKAsteras Tripolis
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
11th
8
Games Played
8
1.88
Points/Game
0.75
2.00
Goals/Game
0.88
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.88
14.4
Shots/Game
10.1
4.6
Shots on Target
3.8
Home vs Away Context
PAOK at home (8 matches) vs Asteras Tripolis away (7 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.29
2.00
Goals/Game
1.29
1.25
Conceded/Game
3.00
75%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
PAOK
Home form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Asteras Tripolis
Away form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
PAOK Wins
4
Draws
1
Asteras Tripolis Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.2
PAOK2 – 1Asteras Tripolis
PAOK2 – 0Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis3 – 3PAOK
PAOK2 – 0Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis1 – 2PAOK
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
PAOKvs
Asteras Tripolis
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.10
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 56.5%−2.4 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.9%→Latest 45.2%−2.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?