Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Panetolikos Stadium
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
9.75
Draw
5.36
Away Win
1.32
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Panetolikos
Olympiakos
3'
🟨 Joel Roca
17'
⚽ Joel Roca
Kwadwo Opoku 🟨
24'
Athanasios Prodromitis 🟨
68'
73'
⚽ Chiquinho (Jota Silva)
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
13
Total Shots
21
2
Shots on Goal
7
5
Corner Kicks
3
22
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Panetolikos (4-4-2)
V. Xenopoulos
C. Mavrias
G. Granath
N. Stajić
Christian Manrique
K. Opoku
Diego Esteban
K. Thymianis
M. Djenepo
José Mateo Mejía Piedrahita
A. Bassi
Olympiakos (4-2-3-1)
S. Ortega
M. Pedersen
P. Retsos
L. Pirola
N. Tiknizyan
G. Puerta
R. Freuler
Joel Roca
Gustavo Sá
K. Fortounis
M. Mouandilmadji
Player Ratings ?
Panetolikos
V. XenopoulosG7.3
L. SmyrlisF6.9
Christian ManriqueD6.8
Olympiakos
Joel RocaM7.8
ChiquinhoM7.7
L. PirolaD7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Olympiakos
Olympiakos rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Olympiakos a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Olympiakos arrive with an impressive away record of three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Panetolikos have suffered three defeats in the same span at home. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that period. Olympiakos rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Olympiakos won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 21 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Panetolikos's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Panetolikos's implied win probability has fallen by 0.8 percentage points, while Olympiakos's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Olympiakos a slight edge.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Olympiakos
Olympiakos's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Olympiakos win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Panetolikos win
Latest market chance 10.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
10.8% → 10.0%
−0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
20.5% → 19.6%
−0.9 pts
Olympiakos win
Latest market chance 70.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
68.7% → 70.4%
+1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Panetolikos
Draw
Olympiakos
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PanetolikosOlympiakos
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
3rd
6
Games Played
6
1.50
Points/Game
2.17
1.33
Goals/Game
0.83
1.50
Conceded/Game
0.33
9.7
Shots/Game
18.4
2.5
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Panetolikos at home (8 matches) vs Olympiakos away (7 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
2.71
0.88
Goals/Game
1.57
1.62
Conceded/Game
0.43
25%
Win Rate
86%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Panetolikos
Home form
W
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Olympiakos
Away form
W
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Panetolikos Wins
0
Draws
1
Olympiakos Wins
4
Avg Goals
1.4
Panetolikos0 – 2Olympiakos
Olympiakos2 – 0Panetolikos
Panetolikos0 – 1Olympiakos
Panetolikos0 – 2Olympiakos
Olympiakos0 – 0Panetolikos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Panetolikosvs
Olympiakos
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded / game
0.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
0/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.5%→Latest 53.1%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 42.8%→Latest 43.9%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Panetolikos's 10 matches and 1 of Olympiakos's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?