Panathinaikos vs AEK Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium
Sun 01 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.22
Draw
3.40
Away Win
3.42
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Panathinaikos
AEK
Andrews Tetteh (Santino Andino) ⚽
1'
30'
🟨 Llazaros Rota
Santino Andino (Giorgos Kyriakopoulos) ⚽
49'
68'
🟨 Aboubakary Koita
69'
🟨 Harold Moukoudi
Kings Kangwa 🟥
70'
75'
🟨 Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
Anass Salah-Eddine 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
16
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
2
6
Corner Kicks
6
12
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Panathinaikos (4-4-2)
Iñaki Peña
D. Calabria
S. de Vrij
R. van Drongelen
G. Kiriakopoulos
L. García
E. Camara
K. Kangwa
Santino Andino
A. Tetteh
C. Dessers
AEK (4-4-2)
A. Brignoli
L. Rota
H. Moukoudi
Filipe Relvas
S. Pilios
O. Zubkov
M. Vitális
R. Marin
L. Majer
B. Varga
L. Jović
Player Ratings ?
Panathinaikos
Santino AndinoM8.6
A. TettehF7.4
Iñaki PeñaG7.1
AEK
P. MantalosM6.8
M. TodorskiD6.7
H. MoukoudiD6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Panathinaikos edge attack and defence, AEK edge head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Panathinaikos slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Panathinaikos slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Panathinaikos arrive at home with a perfect record in their last five outings, while AEK have secured two wins and three draws from their own away sample over the same period. The hosts have scored in every one of their last five matches but have only kept a clean sheet once during that identical run. Panathinaikos hold a slight advantage in attack and defence, while AEK rate stronger on head-to-head, while form is closely matched. AEK won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 10 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Panathinaikos's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Panathinaikos's implied win probability has risen by 3.7 percentage points, while AEK's implied win probability has fallen by 3.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Panathinaikos unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Panathinaikos points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Panathinaikos win as more likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Panathinaikos win
Latest market chance 41.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
38.1% → 41.9%
+3.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.6% → 28.2%
−0.4 pts
AEK win
Latest market chance 29.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
33.3% → 29.9%
−3.4 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PanathinaikosAEK
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
3rd
8
Games Played
7
2.63
Points/Game
2.43
2.25
Goals/Game
3.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
0.43
18.7
Shots/Game
18.0
6.2
Shots on Target
6.3
Home vs Away Context
Panathinaikos at home (7 matches) vs AEK away (6 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.33
3.29
Goals/Game
1.00
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.33
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Panathinaikos
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
AEK
Away form
D
D
W
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Panathinaikos Wins
1
Draws
1
AEK Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Panathinaikos2 – 0AEK
AEK2 – 1Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos0 – 0AEK
AEK4 – 0Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos2 – 3AEK
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Panathinaikosvs
AEK
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
2.40
0.40
Goals conceded / game
0.70
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 52.5%+6.4 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.7%→Latest 57.6%+5.9 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of AEK's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?