Olympiakos vs PAOK Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Karaiskakis Stadium
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.68
Draw
3.94
Away Win
5.13
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Olympiakos
PAOK
Panagiotis Retsos 🟨
33'
45+1'
🟨 Diego Costa
48'
🟨 Cherif Ndiaye
51'
🟨 Dimitrios Giannoulis
Armando González ⚽
58'
60'
🟨 Andrija Živković
71'
⚽ Andrija Živković
Kostas Fortounis 🟨
84'
87'
🟨 Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
15
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
2
5
Corner Kicks
4
14
Fouls
21
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Olympiakos (4-2-3-1)
S. Ortega
M. Saliakas
P. Retsos
L. Pirola
N. Tiknizyan
R. Freuler
S. Hezze
Jota Silva
Chiquinho
Joel Roca
M. Mouandilmadji
PAOK (4-4-2)
D. Monastirlis
Elustondo
P. Hatzidiakos
Diego Costa
D. Giannoulis
A. Živković
K. Jakić
B. Santamaría
C. Zafeiris
C. Ndiaye
S. Banza
Player Ratings ?
Olympiakos
A. GonzálezF7.9
L. PirolaD7.2
M. MouandilmadjiF6.9
PAOK
A. ŽivkovićM7.7
D. MonastirlisG6.8
B. SantamaríaM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Olympiakos edge recent form and defence, PAOK edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Olympiakos have won four of their last five home fixtures, while PAOK have secured just two victories in their last five away outings. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home matches and kept four clean sheets in that same sample. Olympiakos rate stronger on form and defence, while PAOK rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Olympiakos's implied win probability has risen by 8.2 percentage points, while PAOK's implied win probability has fallen by 5.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Olympiakos
Olympiakos's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Olympiakos win as more likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Olympiakos win
Latest market chance 57.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
49.4% → 57.6%
+8.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
27.1% → 23.9%
−3.2 pts
PAOK win
Latest market chance 18.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
23.5% → 18.5%
−5.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Olympiakos
Draw
PAOK
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OlympiakosPAOK
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
4th
9
Games Played
9
2.44
Points/Game
2.00
1.67
Goals/Game
2.00
0.44
Conceded/Game
1.33
18.4
Shots/Game
14.4
5.6
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Olympiakos at home (8 matches) vs PAOK away (8 matches)
2.12
Points/Game
1.38
1.88
Goals/Game
1.62
0.38
Conceded/Game
1.50
62%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Olympiakos
Home form
W
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
PAOK
Away form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Olympiakos Wins
0
Draws
3
PAOK Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Olympiakos1 – 1PAOK
Olympiakos1 – 1PAOK
PAOK3 – 1Olympiakos
Olympiakos0 – 0PAOK
PAOK2 – 1Olympiakos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Olympiakosvs
PAOK
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.30
Goals conceded / game
1.60
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
0/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.0%→Latest 53.5%+7.5 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.9%→Latest 53.0%+4.1 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?