Olympiakos vs Kalamata Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Karaiskakis Stadium
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.14
Draw
8.64
Away Win
18.39
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 0
Match Events ?
Olympiakos
Kalamata
Gustavo Sá 🟨
17'
37'
🟨 Marcelino Carreazo
Jota Silva (Joel Roca) ⚽
37'
Jota Silva (Gustavo Sá) ⚽
40'
Jota Silva (Nayair Tiknizyan) ⚽
46'
Gustavo Puerta 🟨
48'
50'
🟨 Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro
Marius Mouandilmadji ⚽
74'
Leon Bailey ⚽
85'
90+1'
🟨 Josete Miranda
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
17
Total Shots
3
10
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
1
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
Starting Lineups
Olympiakos (4-2-3-1)
S. Ortega
M. Pedersen
Z. Smajlović
L. Pirola
N. Tiknizyan
G. Puerta
R. Freuler
Joel Roca
Gustavo Sá
Jota Silva
A. González
Kalamata (4-2-3-1)
N. Vasiljević
M. Carreazo
S. Stroungis
Rodrigues
P. Kaloutsikidis
G. Piñeiro
I. Chatzitheodoridis
K. Vargas
A. Sigurðsson
A. Mendes Moreira
D. Kurminowski
Player Ratings ?
Olympiakos
Jota SilvaM9.5
M. MouandilmadjiF7.2
L. BaileyF7.2
Kalamata
J. BolívarF6.3
D. KurminowskiF6.3
A. SigurðssonM6.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Olympiakos
Olympiakos rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; Kalamata edge attack, giving Olympiakos a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Kalamata stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Olympiakos have secured four victories in their last five home outings, while Kalamata's away record over that same span shows two wins, a draw and two defeats. At home, Olympiakos have scored in four of their last five matches yet managed only four clean sheets during that identical period. Olympiakos rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Kalamata rate stronger on attack. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2000. The market has remained broadly steady over the 13-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Olympiakos a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Olympiakos win
Latest market chance 82.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
82.2% → 82.2%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 12.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
12.9% → 12.4%
−0.5 pts
Kalamata win
Latest market chance 5.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
4.9% → 5.4%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Olympiakos
Draw
Kalamata
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OlympiakosKalamata
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
7th
7
Games Played
7
2.29
Points/Game
1.43
1.00
Goals/Game
1.86
0.29
Conceded/Game
1.71
18.4
Shots/Game
11.2
5.6
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Olympiakos at home (8 matches) vs Kalamata away (8 matches)
2.12
Points/Game
1.12
1.88
Goals/Game
1.12
0.38
Conceded/Game
2.12
62%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Olympiakos
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kalamata
Away form
L
D
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Olympiakos Wins
5
Draws
0
Kalamata Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.6
Olympiakos5 – 0Kalamata
Kalamata0 – 1Olympiakos
Olympiakos4 – 1Kalamata
Kalamata0 – 4Olympiakos
Olympiakos3 – 0Kalamata
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Olympiakosvs
Kalamata
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
0.20
Goals conceded / game
1.90
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
1/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 61.7%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 35.5%→Latest 38.0%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?