OFI Crete vs PAOK Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.62
Draw
3.90
Away Win
1.76
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
OFI Crete
PAOK
Taxiarchis Fountas (Aitor Cantalapiedra) ⚽
38'
57'
🟨 Kristijan Jakić
Athanasios Androutsos 🟨
60'
63'
🟨 Diego Costa
Nikolaos Athanasiou 🟨
78'
Athanasios Androutsos ⚽ (P)
83'
89'
⚽ Simon Banza (Pantelis Hatzidiakos)
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
12
Total Shots
26
7
Shots on Goal
8
5
Corner Kicks
9
17
Fouls
16
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
7
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
OFI Crete (3-4-2-1)
K. Lilo
A. Poungouras
D. Nikolaou
K. Krizmanić
L. Dickmann
T. Androutsos
A. Bouchalakis
N. Athanasiou
Aitor Cantalapiedra
T. Fountas
T. Nuss
PAOK (4-2-3-1)
A. Tsiftsis
J. Kenny
Diego Costa
G. Michailidis
A. Baba
C. Zafeiris
K. Jakić
A. Živković
O. Ugresić
Taison
C. Ndiaye
Player Ratings ?
OFI Crete
K. LiloG8.1
T. FountasM7.8
Aitor CantalapiedraM7.7
PAOK
S. BanzaF7.3
A. ŽivkovićM7.2
TaisonM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. PAOK edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
PAOK have secured three wins and endured just one defeat in their away fixtures over the last five outings, while OFI Crete remain unbeaten at home with three victories and two draws during that same recent period. OFI Crete have found the net in all five of their home matches recently but have managed to keep a clean sheet only twice within that latest sample. PAOK rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while attack and defence are closely matched. PAOK won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 18 January 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to OFI Crete's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
OFI Crete win
Latest market chance 20.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.8% → 20.3%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.4% → 24.7%
+0.3 pts
PAOK win
Latest market chance 55.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
54.8% → 55.0%
+0.2 pts
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OFI CretePAOK
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
4th
7
Games Played
7
1.43
Points/Game
2.14
1.57
Goals/Game
2.14
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.29
10.0
Shots/Game
14.4
3.2
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
OFI Crete at home (8 matches) vs PAOK away (8 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.38
1.50
Goals/Game
1.62
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
50%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
OFI Crete
Home form
W
W
D
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
PAOK
Away form
W
L
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
OFI Crete Wins
2
Draws
0
PAOK Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
OFI Crete2 – 1PAOK
PAOK3 – 0OFI Crete
OFI Crete1 – 2PAOK
OFI Crete0 – 5PAOK
PAOK1 – 2OFI Crete
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
OFI Cretevs
PAOK
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.5%→Latest 51.3%−2.2 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 52.3%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?