Kalamata vs OFI Crete Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Dimotiko Stadio Paralias
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.86
Draw
3.25
Away Win
2.62
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 3
Match Events ?
Kalamata
OFI Crete
David Kurminowski (Petros Kaloutsikidis) ⚽
14'
Djibril Diarra 🟨
15'
David Kurminowski (Petros Kaloutsikidis) ⚽
18'
58'
⚽ Thiago Nuss (Borja González)
David Kurminowski (Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro) ⚽
59'
David Kurminowski 🟨
61'
Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro 🟨
70'
75'
⚽ Kenan Kodro (Thiago Nuss)
84'
⚽ Thiago Nuss (Lorenzo Dickmann)
85'
🟨 Giannis Theodosoulakis
87'
🟨 Zisis Karachalios
Julio Alonso 🟨
90+2'
Arnór Sigurðsson (Julián Bonetto) ⚽
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
13
Total Shots
8
9
Shots on Goal
3
1
Corner Kicks
6
17
Fouls
9
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Kalamata (4-2-3-1)
N. Vasiljević
P. Kaloutsikidis
S. Stroungis
Rodrigues
Julio Alonso
G. Piñeiro
D. Diarra
K. Vargas
E. Hamza
A. Mendes Moreira
D. Kurminowski
OFI Crete (3-4-2-1)
N. Christogeorgos
K. Kostoulas
D. Nikolaou
K. Krizmanić
Borja González
Z. Karachalios
G. Kanellópoulos
N. Athanasiou
T. Nuss
T. Chatzigiovanis
K. Kodro
Player Ratings ?
Kalamata
D. KurminowskiF9.0
P. KaloutsikidisD8.3
S. StroungisD7.1
OFI Crete
T. NussM8.1
K. KodroF7.3
Borja GonzálezM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Kalamata edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kalamata stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Kalamata stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Kalamata slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
OFI Crete have recorded just one victory in their last five away fixtures, whereas Kalamata have secured two wins from their most recent home outings. At home, Kalamata have found the net in three of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Kalamata rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence. Over the 14-day comparison window, Kalamata's implied win probability has fallen by 5.0 percentage points, while OFI Crete's implied win probability has risen by 5.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards OFI Crete
OFI Crete's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a OFI Crete win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kalamata win
Latest market chance 33.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
38.7% → 33.7%
−5.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.6% → 30.0%
−0.6 pts
OFI Crete win
Latest market chance 36.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
30.8% → 36.3%
+5.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kalamata
Draw
OFI Crete
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KalamataOFI Crete
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
5th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
1.67
1.50
Goals/Game
1.33
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.17
11.2
Shots/Game
10.0
4.3
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Kalamata at home (8 matches) vs OFI Crete away (7 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
1.29
1.88
Goals/Game
1.43
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.86
38%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kalamata
Home form
L
W
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
OFI Crete
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kalamata Wins
1
Draws
0
OFI Crete Wins
0
Avg Goals
7.0
Kalamata4 – 3OFI Crete
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kalamatavs
OFI Crete
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.0%→Latest 46.3%+3.3 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.3%→Latest 52.2%+2.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Kalamata's 10 matches and 2 of OFI Crete's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?