Kalamata vs Iraklis Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Dimotiko Stadio Paralias
Mon 02 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.20
Draw
3.20
Away Win
3.71
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Kalamata
Iraklis
16'
🟨 Xande Silva
Julio Alonso 🟨
31'
43'
🟨 Vassilis Sourlis
David Kurminowski ⚽
54'
57'
⚽ Nanu (Pedro Marques)
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Kalamata (4-2-3-1)
I. Gelios
P. Kaloutsikidis
S. Stroungis
Rodrigues
Julio Alonso
G. Piñeiro
M. Carreazo
A. Sigurðsson
E. Hamza
A. Mendes Moreira
D. Kurminowski
Iraklis (3-4-2-1)
G. Athanasiadis
P. Vouros
Piña
S. Chakla
Carles Soria
V. Sourlis
M. Krainz
Nanu
Xande Silva
Y. Bárcenas
Pedro Marques
Player Ratings ?
Kalamata
RodriguesD7.9
D. KurminowskiF7.8
P. KaloutsikidisD7.2
Iraklis
NanuM8.2
Pedro MarquesF7.4
P. VourosD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Kalamata edge recent form and attack, Iraklis edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kalamata slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Kalamata stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Iraklis stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Iraklis stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Kalamata have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Iraklis have managed just a solitary win across their corresponding five away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Kalamata rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while Iraklis rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2000. Over the 9-day comparison window, Kalamata's implied win probability has risen by 4.8 percentage points, while Iraklis's implied win probability has fallen by 5.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Iraklis
Iraklis's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Iraklis win as less likely than it did 9 days ago. Kalamata remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kalamata win
Latest market chance 42.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
37.8% → 42.6%
+4.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.9% → 30.0%
+1.1 pts
Iraklis win
Latest market chance 27.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
33.2% → 27.5%
−5.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kalamata
Draw
Iraklis
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 9 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KalamataIraklis
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
9th
8
Games Played
8
1.25
Points/Game
1.13
1.62
Goals/Game
1.12
2.12
Conceded/Game
1.38
11.2
Shots/Game
9.4
4.3
Shots on Target
2.3
Home vs Away Context
Kalamata at home (8 matches) vs Iraklis away (8 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
0.88
1.88
Goals/Game
0.88
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.38
38%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kalamata
Home form
L
L
W
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Iraklis
Away form
W
D
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kalamata Wins
1
Draws
2
Iraklis Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Kalamata1 – 1Iraklis
Kalamata2 – 2Iraklis
Iraklis2 – 1Kalamata
Kalamata1 – 0Iraklis
Iraklis2 – 1Kalamata
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kalamatavs
Iraklis
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.9%→Latest 44.7%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.8%→Latest 50.5%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?