Kalamata vs AEK Head to Head | Super League Greece

Match Prediction

Data favours

AEK

AEK rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving AEK an edge.

Leads 4 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

AEK stronger

HomeAway

Attack

AEK stronger

HomeAway

Defence

AEK stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

AEK stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Strong shift away from AEK

AEK's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a AEK win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.

Movement strength: Strong

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Kalamata win

Latest market chance 10.8%

Strong shortening

Market chance increased

7.3% → 10.8%

+3.5 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 17.7%

Notable shortening

Market chance increased

15.4% → 17.7%

+2.3 pts

AEK win

Latest market chance 71.5%

Strong drift

Market chance decreased

77.2% → 71.5%

−5.7 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

7 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Kalamata

Draw

AEK

5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Kalamata

AEK

Season Profile

This season

8th

League Position

3rd

Games Played

1.20

Points/Game

2.22

1.50

Goals/Game

2.56

1.90

Conceded/Game

0.67

11.2

Shots/Game

18.0

4.3

Shots on Target

6.3

Home vs Away Context

Kalamata at home (8 matches) vs AEK away (6 matches)

1.38

Points/Game

1.33

1.88

Goals/Game

1.00

1.75

Conceded/Game

1.33

38%

Win Rate

33%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Kalamata

Home form

2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home

2.0

Goals scored
per match

1.8

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

AEK

Away form

2W 1D 2L in last 5 away

1.0

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Kalamata Wins

Draws

AEK Wins

Avg Goals

5.0

2000-05-281999-2000

AEK6 – 1Kalamata

2000-01-311999-2000

Kalamata1 – 1AEK

1998-05-101997-1998

AEK4 – 2Kalamata

1997-12-211997-1998

Kalamata1 – 2AEK

1997-02-231996-1997

AEK6 – 1Kalamata

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Kalamata

AEK

Recent Scoring Profile

1.80

Goals scored / game

2.20

Goals conceded / game

0.90

6/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

8/10

Both Teams Scored

5/10

2/10

Failed to Score

2/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

82.4%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

63.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

42.2%

BTTSBoth teams score

52.6%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 64.1%→Latest 63.5%−0.6 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 19 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 47.3%→Latest 52.6%+5.3 pts

Strong move towards both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 19 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Kalamata vs AEK Head to Head, Prediction