Iraklis vs Panathinaikos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kaftanzoglio Stadio
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
8.31
Draw
5.14
Away Win
1.36
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Iraklis
Panathinaikos
16'
🟨 Davide Calabria
Pedro Marques (Praxitelis Vouros) ⚽
17'
25'
🟨 Etiene Camara
Vassilis Sourlis 🟨
27'
56'
⚽ Cyriel Dessers (Giorgos Kyriakopoulos)
61'
🟨 Santino Andino
Yohan Roche 🟨
77'
78'
🟨 S. Kontouris
87'
🟨 Stefan de Vrij
Edgar Yoel Bárcenas 🟨
90'
90+4'
⚽ (P) Davide Calabria
Sofian Chakla 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
34%
Ball Possession
66%
9
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
4
1
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
24
4
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Iraklis (3-4-2-1)
G. Athanasiadis
P. Vouros
Piña
Y. Roche
Carles Soria
V. Sourlis
M. Krainz
Nanu
Ivi López
Xande Silva
Pedro Marques
Panathinaikos (4-2-3-1)
Iñaki Peña
D. Calabria
S. de Vrij
R. van Drongelen
A. Salah-Eddine
E. Camara
I. Louza
V. Taborda
A. Tetteh
Santino Andino
C. Dessers
Player Ratings ?
Iraklis
Pedro MarquesF7.5
P. VourosD7.1
PiñaD6.5
Panathinaikos
C. DessersF8.0
L. GarcíaF7.0
R. van DrongelenD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Panathinaikos an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Panathinaikos stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Panathinaikos have secured three victories from their last five away fixtures, while Iraklis boast a strong home record with three wins and a single draw in their recent outings. Iraklis have found the net in each of their last five home matches but have managed just two clean sheets in that same period. Panathinaikos rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2017. Over the 14-day comparison window, Iraklis's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Panathinaikos's implied win probability has risen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Panathinaikos.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Panathinaikos win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Iraklis win
Latest market chance 11.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
12.5% → 11.6%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.3% → 19.8%
−2.5 pts
Panathinaikos win
Latest market chance 68.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
65.2% → 68.5%
+3.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Iraklis
Draw
Panathinaikos
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
IraklisPanathinaikos
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
1st
9
Games Played
9
1.11
Points/Game
2.67
1.11
Goals/Game
2.22
1.33
Conceded/Game
0.44
9.4
Shots/Game
18.7
2.3
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away Context
Iraklis at home (6 matches) vs Panathinaikos away (9 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
2.33
1.50
Goals/Game
1.11
1.33
Conceded/Game
0.44
33%
Win Rate
78%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Iraklis
Home form
D
W
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Panathinaikos
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Iraklis Wins
1
Draws
1
Panathinaikos Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Iraklis1 – 2Panathinaikos
Iraklis1 – 1Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos2 – 0Iraklis
Panathinaikos4 – 0Iraklis
Iraklis1 – 0Panathinaikos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Iraklisvs
Panathinaikos
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded / game
0.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 56.3%+5.0 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.5%→Latest 47.5%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?