Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.96
Draw
3.53
Away Win
3.98
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Asteras Tripolis
Kalamata
Jordan Silva 🟨
36'
37'
🟨 Antônio Josenildo Rodrigues de Oliveira
Federico Macheda (Franco Orozco) ⚽
45+1'
Giannis Bouzoukis 🟨
48'
67'
⚽ Jovanny Bolivar (Marcelino Carreazo)
Federico Macheda 🟨
80'
Giannis Kotsiras 🟨
81'
83'
🟨 Jovanny Bolivar
Franco Orozco 🟨
89'
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
8
Total Shots
9
1
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
3
17
Fouls
12
5
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Asteras Tripolis (4-4-1-1)
N. Papadopoulos
G. Kotsiras
J. Silva
K. Chrisopoulos
Alex Méndez
F. Orozco
D. Kourbelis
Eder González
B. Mbunga Kimpioka
I. Bouzoukis
F. Macheda
Kalamata (4-2-3-1)
I. Gelios
P. Kaloutsikidis
S. Stroungis
Rodrigues
Julio Alonso
E. Hamza
D. Diarra
A. Sigurðsson
J. Cataldi
A. Mendes Moreira
D. Kurminowski
Player Ratings ?
Asteras Tripolis
F. MachedaF7.6
K. KetuF7.0
K. ChrisopoulosD6.9
Kalamata
J. BolívarF8.1
D. DiarraM7.2
S. StroungisD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Asteras Tripolis edge defence, Kalamata edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kalamata stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Kalamata slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Asteras Tripolis stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Kalamata have managed two wins from their last five away outings, while Asteras Tripolis have secured just one victory in their corresponding home fixtures over the same span. Asteras Tripolis have found the net in only two of their last five home matches and have kept just a single clean sheet during that identical period. Kalamata rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Asteras Tripolis rate stronger on defence. Over the 14-day comparison window, Asteras Tripolis's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points, while Kalamata's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Asteras Tripolis win as more likely than it did 14 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Asteras Tripolis win
Latest market chance 48.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
46.8% → 48.0%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.6% → 27.6%
±0.0 pts
Kalamata win
Latest market chance 24.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.6% → 24.4%
−1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Asteras Tripolis
Draw
Kalamata
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Asteras TripolisKalamata
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
8th
9
Games Played
9
0.67
Points/Game
1.22
0.89
Goals/Game
1.56
1.89
Conceded/Game
2.00
10.1
Shots/Game
11.2
3.8
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Asteras Tripolis at home (7 matches) vs Kalamata away (8 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.12
0.71
Goals/Game
1.12
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.12
14%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Asteras Tripolis
Home form
L
D
W
D
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kalamata
Away form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Asteras Tripolis Wins
0
Draws
1
Kalamata Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Asteras Tripolis1 – 1Kalamata
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Asteras Tripolisvs
Kalamata
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.10
Goals conceded / game
2.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.5%→Latest 47.4%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.5%→Latest 51.4%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?