Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Head to Head, Prediction
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.67
Draw
2.92
Away Win
2.28
Match Prediction
Data favours
Aris
Aris rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Asteras Tripolis edge defence, giving Aris a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Asteras Tripolis slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Aris stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Asteras Tripolis win
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 31.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.0% → 31.0%
±0.0 pts
Aris win
Latest market chance 42.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
42.6% → 42.6%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Asteras Tripolis
Draw
Aris
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Asteras TripolisAris
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
5th
10
Games Played
10
0.70
Points/Game
1.90
0.90
Goals/Game
1.60
1.80
Conceded/Game
1.70
10.1
Shots/Game
15.6
3.8
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Asteras Tripolis at home (7 matches) vs Aris away (7 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.29
0.71
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.43
14%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Asteras Tripolis
Home form
D
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Aris
Away form
L
W
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Asteras Tripolis Wins
1
Draws
1
Aris Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Asteras Tripolis0 – 1Aris
Aris0 – 0Asteras Tripolis
Aris4 – 2Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis0 – 2Aris
Asteras Tripolis2 – 1Aris
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Asteras Tripolisvs
Aris
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.0%→Latest 45.6%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.8%→Latest 51.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?